Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 shifted CA-06 into Democratic-leaning territory with a D+5 partisan voting index, incorporating more Sacramento-area voters and prompting former Republican Kevin Kiley to run as an independent while still caucusing with the GOP. In the June top-two primary, Kiley and Democrat Richard Pan advanced to the November general election, where nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Recent polling shows Pan holding a modest edge, and trader pricing reflects the district's composition, historical voting patterns, and the absence of major late-breaking developments that could alter the trajectory before Election Day. A Republican victory would require unusually high independent turnout or a sharp national shift favoring the party.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$50,192 Vol.
$50,192 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
3%
$50,192 Vol.
$50,192 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$25,661 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$24,531 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 shifted CA-06 into Democratic-leaning territory with a D+5 partisan voting index, incorporating more Sacramento-area voters and prompting former Republican Kevin Kiley to run as an independent while still caucusing with the GOP. In the June top-two primary, Kiley and Democrat Richard Pan advanced to the November general election, where nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Recent polling shows Pan holding a modest edge, and trader pricing reflects the district's composition, historical voting patterns, and the absence of major late-breaking developments that could alter the trajectory before Election Day. A Republican victory would require unusually high independent turnout or a sharp national shift favoring the party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$50,192Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 shifted CA-06 into Democratic-leaning territory with a D+5 partisan voting index, incorporating more Sacramento-area voters and prompting former Republican Kevin Kiley to run as an independent while still caucusing with the GOP. In the June top-two primary, Kiley and Democrat Richard Pan advanced to the November general election, where nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Recent polling shows Pan holding a modest edge, and trader pricing reflects the district's composition, historical voting patterns, and the absence of major late-breaking developments that could alter the trajectory before Election Day. A Republican victory would require unusually high independent turnout or a sharp national shift favoring the party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$50,192Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 shifted CA-06 into Democratic-leaning territory with a D+5 partisan voting index, incorporating more Sacramento-area voters and prompting former Republican Kevin Kiley to run as an independent while still caucusing with the GOP. In the June top-two primary, Kiley and Democrat Richard Pan advanced to the November general election, where nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or likely Democratic. Recent polling shows Pan holding a modest edge, and trader pricing reflects the district's composition, historical voting patterns, and the absence of major late-breaking developments that could alter the trajectory before Election Day. A Republican victory would require unusually high independent turnout or a sharp national shift favoring the party.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes