Recent exit polls and early Hochrechnungen from the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 14.3–15.5 percent of second votes, down from 18.4 percent in 2023. Pre-election surveys by Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA had converged on 15–16 percent amid a broader shift toward Die Linke and AfD. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the 14–17 percent band, reflecting the narrow range of confirmed projections and the limited scope for final certified totals to deviate materially once all ballots are tallied. Only an unusually large late swing in remaining counts or a formal recount altering the rounded share would move the outcome outside this interval.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado14-17% 97.4%
<14% 2.0%
17-20% <1%
20%+ <1%
$74,949 Vol.
$74,949 Vol.
20 sep 2026
<14%
2%
14-17%
97%
17-20%
1%
20%+
<1%
14-17% 97.4%
<14% 2.0%
17-20% <1%
20%+ <1%
$74,949 Vol.
$74,949 Vol.
20 sep 2026
<14%
$30,252 Vol.
2%
14-17%
$27,354 Vol.
97%
17-20%
$13,678 Vol.
1%
20%+
$3,665 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent exit polls and early Hochrechnungen from the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 14.3–15.5 percent of second votes, down from 18.4 percent in 2023. Pre-election surveys by Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA had converged on 15–16 percent amid a broader shift toward Die Linke and AfD. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the 14–17 percent band, reflecting the narrow range of confirmed projections and the limited scope for final certified totals to deviate materially once all ballots are tallied. Only an unusually large late swing in remaining counts or a formal recount altering the rounded share would move the outcome outside this interval.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volumen
$74,949Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent exit polls and early Hochrechnungen from the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 14.3–15.5 percent of second votes, down from 18.4 percent in 2023. Pre-election surveys by Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA had converged on 15–16 percent amid a broader shift toward Die Linke and AfD. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the 14–17 percent band, reflecting the narrow range of confirmed projections and the limited scope for final certified totals to deviate materially once all ballots are tallied. Only an unusually large late swing in remaining counts or a formal recount altering the rounded share would move the outcome outside this interval.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volumen
$74,949Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent exit polls and early Hochrechnungen from the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 14.3–15.5 percent of second votes, down from 18.4 percent in 2023. Pre-election surveys by Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA had converged on 15–16 percent amid a broader shift toward Die Linke and AfD. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the 14–17 percent band, reflecting the narrow range of confirmed projections and the limited scope for final certified totals to deviate materially once all ballots are tallied. Only an unusually large late swing in remaining counts or a formal recount altering the rounded share would move the outcome outside this interval.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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