Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in Arizona's 5th Congressional District race, reflecting the East Valley seat's consistent Republican advantage, including a roughly 20-point Trump margin in 2024. Lamb secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary with Trump endorsement and strong fundraising, overcoming allegations of misconduct that surfaced during the contest. Democrat Elizabeth Lee captured her party's nomination but trails significantly in resources and faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset, though late developments such as renewed scrutiny of Lamb or a broader national shift could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAZ-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
AZ-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$36,296 Vol.
$36,296 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mark Lamb (R)
92%
Elizabeth Lee (D)
9%
$36,296 Vol.
$36,296 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mark Lamb (R)
$20,823 Vol.
92%
Elizabeth Lee (D)
$15,473 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in Arizona's 5th Congressional District race, reflecting the East Valley seat's consistent Republican advantage, including a roughly 20-point Trump margin in 2024. Lamb secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary with Trump endorsement and strong fundraising, overcoming allegations of misconduct that surfaced during the contest. Democrat Elizabeth Lee captured her party's nomination but trails significantly in resources and faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset, though late developments such as renewed scrutiny of Lamb or a broader national shift could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$36,296Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in Arizona's 5th Congressional District race, reflecting the East Valley seat's consistent Republican advantage, including a roughly 20-point Trump margin in 2024. Lamb secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary with Trump endorsement and strong fundraising, overcoming allegations of misconduct that surfaced during the contest. Democrat Elizabeth Lee captured her party's nomination but trails significantly in resources and faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset, though late developments such as renewed scrutiny of Lamb or a broader national shift could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$36,296Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in Arizona's 5th Congressional District race, reflecting the East Valley seat's consistent Republican advantage, including a roughly 20-point Trump margin in 2024. Lamb secured the GOP nomination in the July 21 primary with Trump endorsement and strong fundraising, overcoming allegations of misconduct that surfaced during the contest. Democrat Elizabeth Lee captured her party's nomination but trails significantly in resources and faces structural barriers in a district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an upset, though late developments such as renewed scrutiny of Lamb or a broader national shift could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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