Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 18 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. The state’s long-standing Republican dominance, including consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and Senate contests and no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins trader expectations of a decisive general-election outcome on November 3. James Byrd, the Democratic nominee and former state representative, faces structural barriers in a solidly Republican electorate with limited campaign resources. While late developments such as a major scandal or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, Wyoming’s partisan fundamentals and Hageman’s primary performance have produced broad market consensus around her strong position.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$16,773 Vol.
$16,773 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
3%
$16,773 Vol.
$16,773 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
$11,119 Vol.
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
$5,655 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 18 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. The state’s long-standing Republican dominance, including consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and Senate contests and no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins trader expectations of a decisive general-election outcome on November 3. James Byrd, the Democratic nominee and former state representative, faces structural barriers in a solidly Republican electorate with limited campaign resources. While late developments such as a major scandal or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, Wyoming’s partisan fundamentals and Hageman’s primary performance have produced broad market consensus around her strong position.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$16,773Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 18 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. The state’s long-standing Republican dominance, including consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and Senate contests and no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins trader expectations of a decisive general-election outcome on November 3. James Byrd, the Democratic nominee and former state representative, faces structural barriers in a solidly Republican electorate with limited campaign resources. While late developments such as a major scandal or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, Wyoming’s partisan fundamentals and Hageman’s primary performance have produced broad market consensus around her strong position.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$16,773Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s open U.S. Senate seat in the August 18 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote, backed by President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. The state’s long-standing Republican dominance, including consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and Senate contests and no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins trader expectations of a decisive general-election outcome on November 3. James Byrd, the Democratic nominee and former state representative, faces structural barriers in a solidly Republican electorate with limited campaign resources. While late developments such as a major scandal or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, Wyoming’s partisan fundamentals and Hageman’s primary performance have produced broad market consensus around her strong position.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen