Iran's Islamic Republic maintains laws under the Islamic Penal Code and constitution that criminalize same-sex relations with penalties including execution, rendering any recognition of same-sex marriage structurally incompatible without fundamental shifts in governance. The Guardian Council and Supreme Leader enforce Sharia-based criteria for all legislation, with the conservative Majlis showing no proposals or debates on the issue through 2026. Recent human rights reports confirm ongoing enforcement, censorship of related expression, and official statements rejecting such reforms, consistent with patterns since the 1979 revolution. Trader consensus at 98.2% "No" aligns with these entrenched barriers through the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Only an improbable regime transition or constitutional overhaul could open pathways to change before then.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
2% Chance
$78,455 Vol.
$78,455 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
Ja
2% Chance
$78,455 Vol.
$78,455 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Republic maintains laws under the Islamic Penal Code and constitution that criminalize same-sex relations with penalties including execution, rendering any recognition of same-sex marriage structurally incompatible without fundamental shifts in governance. The Guardian Council and Supreme Leader enforce Sharia-based criteria for all legislation, with the conservative Majlis showing no proposals or debates on the issue through 2026. Recent human rights reports confirm ongoing enforcement, censorship of related expression, and official statements rejecting such reforms, consistent with patterns since the 1979 revolution. Trader consensus at 98.2% "No" aligns with these entrenched barriers through the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Only an improbable regime transition or constitutional overhaul could open pathways to change before then.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
Volumen
$78,455Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Republic maintains laws under the Islamic Penal Code and constitution that criminalize same-sex relations with penalties including execution, rendering any recognition of same-sex marriage structurally incompatible without fundamental shifts in governance. The Guardian Council and Supreme Leader enforce Sharia-based criteria for all legislation, with the conservative Majlis showing no proposals or debates on the issue through 2026. Recent human rights reports confirm ongoing enforcement, censorship of related expression, and official statements rejecting such reforms, consistent with patterns since the 1979 revolution. Trader consensus at 98.2% "No" aligns with these entrenched barriers through the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Only an improbable regime transition or constitutional overhaul could open pathways to change before then.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$78,455Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Iran's Islamic Republic maintains laws under the Islamic Penal Code and constitution that criminalize same-sex relations with penalties including execution, rendering any recognition of same-sex marriage structurally incompatible without fundamental shifts in governance. The Guardian Council and Supreme Leader enforce Sharia-based criteria for all legislation, with the conservative Majlis showing no proposals or debates on the issue through 2026. Recent human rights reports confirm ongoing enforcement, censorship of related expression, and official statements rejecting such reforms, consistent with patterns since the 1979 revolution. Trader consensus at 98.2% "No" aligns with these entrenched barriers through the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Only an improbable regime transition or constitutional overhaul could open pathways to change before then.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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