Anthropic’s advancing IPO timeline, with its confidential S-1 filed in June and marketing now targeted for mid-October on Nasdaq at a potential $2 trillion valuation, drives the 94% market-implied odds it will list ahead of OpenAI. The company has reported rapid revenue growth, reaching a $65 billion annualized run rate by July through enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models and cloud partnerships with Amazon and Google. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman recently stated that a 2026 debut would be ill-advised amid AI safety priorities, shifting focus to 2027 or later. Key upcoming catalysts include Anthropic’s expected public prospectus filing in late September and any resolution of broader regulatory or market volatility that could still delay its process or prompt OpenAI to accelerate.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Anthropic oder OpenAI IPO zuerst?
Wird Anthropic oder OpenAI IPO zuerst?
Anthropic
94% Chance
$370,695 Vol.
$370,695 Vol.
30. Dez. 2027
Anthropic
94% Chance
$370,695 Vol.
$370,695 Vol.
30. Dez. 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advancing IPO timeline, with its confidential S-1 filed in June and marketing now targeted for mid-October on Nasdaq at a potential $2 trillion valuation, drives the 94% market-implied odds it will list ahead of OpenAI. The company has reported rapid revenue growth, reaching a $65 billion annualized run rate by July through enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models and cloud partnerships with Amazon and Google. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman recently stated that a 2026 debut would be ill-advised amid AI safety priorities, shifting focus to 2027 or later. Key upcoming catalysts include Anthropic’s expected public prospectus filing in late September and any resolution of broader regulatory or market volatility that could still delay its process or prompt OpenAI to accelerate.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$370,695Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advancing IPO timeline, with its confidential S-1 filed in June and marketing now targeted for mid-October on Nasdaq at a potential $2 trillion valuation, drives the 94% market-implied odds it will list ahead of OpenAI. The company has reported rapid revenue growth, reaching a $65 billion annualized run rate by July through enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models and cloud partnerships with Amazon and Google. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman recently stated that a 2026 debut would be ill-advised amid AI safety priorities, shifting focus to 2027 or later. Key upcoming catalysts include Anthropic’s expected public prospectus filing in late September and any resolution of broader regulatory or market volatility that could still delay its process or prompt OpenAI to accelerate.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$370,695Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s advancing IPO timeline, with its confidential S-1 filed in June and marketing now targeted for mid-October on Nasdaq at a potential $2 trillion valuation, drives the 94% market-implied odds it will list ahead of OpenAI. The company has reported rapid revenue growth, reaching a $65 billion annualized run rate by July through enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models and cloud partnerships with Amazon and Google. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman recently stated that a 2026 debut would be ill-advised amid AI safety priorities, shifting focus to 2027 or later. Key upcoming catalysts include Anthropic’s expected public prospectus filing in late September and any resolution of broader regulatory or market volatility that could still delay its process or prompt OpenAI to accelerate.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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