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icon for Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?
Finanzen·Börsengang

Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?

icon for Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?
Finanzen·Börsengang

Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?

$1.75T–$2.0T 22%

$1.5T–$1.75T 18.9%

$2.5T+ 15.6%

$2.25T–$2.5T 13.7%

Polymarket

$131,160 Vol.

$1.75T–$2.0T 22%

$1.5T–$1.75T 18.9%

$2.5T+ 15.6%

$2.25T–$2.5T 13.7%

Polymarket

$131,160 Vol.

<$1T

$18,922 Vol.

6%

$1.0T–$1.25T

$14,064 Vol.

10%

$1.25T–$1.5T

$7,448 Vol.

10%

$1.5T–$1.75T

$7,293 Vol.

19%

$1.75T–$2.0T

$13,600 Vol.

22%

$2.0T–$2.25T

$2,616 Vol.

5%

$2.25T–$2.5T

$8,294 Vol.

14%

$2.5T+

$58,924 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent delay signals have anchored trader sentiment around a $1.5–2.0 trillion IPO window, with the $1.75–2.0T bracket holding the narrow lead at 21.5% implied probability. Revenue has scaled rapidly to a $25–40B annualized run rate on strong enterprise adoption and ChatGPT usage, yet projected 2026 losses exceed $14B amid heavy infrastructure commitments, supporting elevated multiples only if growth sustains. CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1T+ floor, coupled with secondary-market marks near $894B and caution after SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility, creates the tight contest between $1.5–1.75T and $1.75–2.0T outcomes. Key swing factors include Q3–Q4 revenue inflection data and broader tech-market risk appetite ahead of any 2027 listing.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$131,160
Enddatum
1. Juli 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent delay signals have anchored trader sentiment around a $1.5–2.0 trillion IPO window, with the $1.75–2.0T bracket holding the narrow lead at 21.5% implied probability. Revenue has scaled rapidly to a $25–40B annualized run rate on strong enterprise adoption and ChatGPT usage, yet projected 2026 losses exceed $14B amid heavy infrastructure commitments, supporting elevated multiples only if growth sustains. CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1T+ floor, coupled with secondary-market marks near $894B and caution after SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility, creates the tight contest between $1.5–1.75T and $1.75–2.0T outcomes. Key swing factors include Q3–Q4 revenue inflection data and broader tech-market risk appetite ahead of any 2027 listing.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$131,160
Enddatum
1. Juli 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?

Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?

46%
icon for Wird die Marktkapitalisierung von OpenAI am Tag des Börsengangs bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 bei Börsenschluss 1,5 Billionen US-Dollar oder mehr betragen?

Wird die Marktkapitalisierung von OpenAI am Tag des Börsengangs bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 bei Börsenschluss 1,5 Billionen US-Dollar oder mehr betragen?

80%
Ja
icon for OpenAI-Börsengang schließt mit einer Marktkapitalisierung von über 1 Billion $?

OpenAI-Börsengang schließt mit einer Marktkapitalisierung von über 1 Billion $?

95%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „$1.75T–$2.0T" mit 22%, gefolgt von „$1.5T–$1.75T" mit 19%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 22¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 22% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $131.2K generiert, seit der Markt am May 21, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wie wird der Börsengang von OpenAI bewertet?" ist „$1.75T–$2.0T" mit 22%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 22% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „$1.5T–$1.75T" mit 19%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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