Anthropic’s 94% market-implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI stems primarily from its accelerated timeline and OpenAI’s explicit delay. Anthropic confidentially filed its S-1 in early June and is now targeting an October Nasdaq listing after finalizing a large credit facility, with marketing expected to begin mid-month and a potential $2 trillion valuation supported by rapid revenue growth to an $11.5 billion quarterly run rate and consecutive profitable quarters. OpenAI, by contrast, has ruled out any 2026 debut; CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety priorities and governance needs in mid-September statements, shifting focus to 2027. While Anthropic could still face market volatility or regulatory hurdles that push its listing later, OpenAI’s public stance creates a wide window favoring Anthropic’s earlier public debut.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Anthropic oder OpenAI IPO zuerst?
Wird Anthropic oder OpenAI IPO zuerst?
Anthropic
94% Chance
$367,205 Vol.
$367,205 Vol.
30. Dez. 2027
Anthropic
94% Chance
$367,205 Vol.
$367,205 Vol.
30. Dez. 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s 94% market-implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI stems primarily from its accelerated timeline and OpenAI’s explicit delay. Anthropic confidentially filed its S-1 in early June and is now targeting an October Nasdaq listing after finalizing a large credit facility, with marketing expected to begin mid-month and a potential $2 trillion valuation supported by rapid revenue growth to an $11.5 billion quarterly run rate and consecutive profitable quarters. OpenAI, by contrast, has ruled out any 2026 debut; CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety priorities and governance needs in mid-September statements, shifting focus to 2027. While Anthropic could still face market volatility or regulatory hurdles that push its listing later, OpenAI’s public stance creates a wide window favoring Anthropic’s earlier public debut.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$367,205Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s 94% market-implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI stems primarily from its accelerated timeline and OpenAI’s explicit delay. Anthropic confidentially filed its S-1 in early June and is now targeting an October Nasdaq listing after finalizing a large credit facility, with marketing expected to begin mid-month and a potential $2 trillion valuation supported by rapid revenue growth to an $11.5 billion quarterly run rate and consecutive profitable quarters. OpenAI, by contrast, has ruled out any 2026 debut; CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety priorities and governance needs in mid-September statements, shifting focus to 2027. While Anthropic could still face market volatility or regulatory hurdles that push its listing later, OpenAI’s public stance creates a wide window favoring Anthropic’s earlier public debut.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$367,205Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s 94% market-implied probability of IPOing before OpenAI stems primarily from its accelerated timeline and OpenAI’s explicit delay. Anthropic confidentially filed its S-1 in early June and is now targeting an October Nasdaq listing after finalizing a large credit facility, with marketing expected to begin mid-month and a potential $2 trillion valuation supported by rapid revenue growth to an $11.5 billion quarterly run rate and consecutive profitable quarters. OpenAI, by contrast, has ruled out any 2026 debut; CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety priorities and governance needs in mid-September statements, shifting focus to 2027. While Anthropic could still face market volatility or regulatory hurdles that push its listing later, OpenAI’s public stance creates a wide window favoring Anthropic’s earlier public debut.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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