Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing and retention of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters have not yet produced a public S-1, pushing the base case for an IPO into 2027 and elevating the market-implied probability of no listing by December 31, 2027, to 53.7 percent. Secondary-market indications on Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 peak of $15 billion, reflecting compressed consumer-platform multiples amid slower monetization progress outside gaming and competition from Microsoft Teams and Telegram. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and annualized revenue in the $600–900 million range, the 8–11 billion closing-market-cap bracket leads the IPO outcomes at 11.6 percent. Traders continue to monitor SEC review timelines, broader equity-market conditions, and any potential late-2026 catalyst that could shift the probability distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDiscord IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Discord IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 53.7%
14–17 Mrd. 19.4%
8–11 Mrd. 11.6%
11–14 Mrd. 7.7%
$97,104 Vol.
$97,104 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<5 Mrd.
2%
5–8 Mrd.
2%
8–11 Mrd.
12%
11–14 Mrd.
8%
14–17 Mrd.
13%
17–20 Mrd.
4%
20 Mrd.+
6%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
54%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027 53.7%
14–17 Mrd. 19.4%
8–11 Mrd. 11.6%
11–14 Mrd. 7.7%
$97,104 Vol.
$97,104 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<5 Mrd.
$16,338 Vol.
2%
5–8 Mrd.
$5,196 Vol.
2%
8–11 Mrd.
$14,571 Vol.
12%
11–14 Mrd.
$11,346 Vol.
8%
14–17 Mrd.
$3,136 Vol.
13%
17–20 Mrd.
$5,633 Vol.
4%
20 Mrd.+
$5,354 Vol.
6%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 31. Dezember 2027
$35,530 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing and retention of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters have not yet produced a public S-1, pushing the base case for an IPO into 2027 and elevating the market-implied probability of no listing by December 31, 2027, to 53.7 percent. Secondary-market indications on Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 peak of $15 billion, reflecting compressed consumer-platform multiples amid slower monetization progress outside gaming and competition from Microsoft Teams and Telegram. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and annualized revenue in the $600–900 million range, the 8–11 billion closing-market-cap bracket leads the IPO outcomes at 11.6 percent. Traders continue to monitor SEC review timelines, broader equity-market conditions, and any potential late-2026 catalyst that could shift the probability distribution.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volumen
$97,104Enddatum
1. Jan. 2028Markt eröffnet
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing and retention of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters have not yet produced a public S-1, pushing the base case for an IPO into 2027 and elevating the market-implied probability of no listing by December 31, 2027, to 53.7 percent. Secondary-market indications on Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 peak of $15 billion, reflecting compressed consumer-platform multiples amid slower monetization progress outside gaming and competition from Microsoft Teams and Telegram. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and annualized revenue in the $600–900 million range, the 8–11 billion closing-market-cap bracket leads the IPO outcomes at 11.6 percent. Traders continue to monitor SEC review timelines, broader equity-market conditions, and any potential late-2026 catalyst that could shift the probability distribution.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volumen
$97,104Enddatum
1. Jan. 2028Markt eröffnet
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing and retention of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters have not yet produced a public S-1, pushing the base case for an IPO into 2027 and elevating the market-implied probability of no listing by December 31, 2027, to 53.7 percent. Secondary-market indications on Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 peak of $15 billion, reflecting compressed consumer-platform multiples amid slower monetization progress outside gaming and competition from Microsoft Teams and Telegram. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and annualized revenue in the $600–900 million range, the 8–11 billion closing-market-cap bracket leads the IPO outcomes at 11.6 percent. Traders continue to monitor SEC review timelines, broader equity-market conditions, and any potential late-2026 catalyst that could shift the probability distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird die Marktkapitalisierung von Databricks am Tag des Börsengangs bei Börsenschluss zwischen 300 Mrd. $ und 350 Mrd. $ liegen?
49%
Ja
Wird die Marktkapitalisierung von Stripe am Tag des Börsengangs bei Börsenschluss mindestens 500 Milliarden US-Dollar betragen?
44%
Ja
Wird SB Energy vor Januar 2027 nicht an die Börse gehen?
29%
Ja
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen