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icon for Texas Senatswahl: Tarrant County Gewinner
Politik·Midterms

Texas Senatswahl: Tarrant County Gewinner

icon for Texas Senatswahl: Tarrant County Gewinner
Politik·Midterms

Texas Senatswahl: Tarrant County Gewinner

Polymarket
NEU
Polymarket
NEU
icon for James Talarico (D)

James Talarico (D)

$4,713 Vol.

89%

icon for Ken Paxton (R)

Ken Paxton (R)

$199 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.James Talarico holds an 89% implied probability of winning Tarrant County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, far ahead of Ken Paxton at 7%, according to current trader consensus. Tarrant County’s suburban demographics have shifted leftward in recent cycles, with Democrats posting gains among independents, Hispanic voters, and younger residents amid concerns over the economy and federal policy. Talarico’s strong primary performance, record fundraising exceeding $68 million, and targeted suburban outreach have reinforced this positioning, while Paxton’s primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn consolidated Republican support but left lingering questions about past legal issues. With early voting approaching and both campaigns focusing on turnout in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area, recent polling trends showing a competitive statewide contest have translated into elevated odds for the Democrat carrying this key county.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.
Volumen
$4,912
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 1:32 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.James Talarico holds an 89% implied probability of winning Tarrant County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, far ahead of Ken Paxton at 7%, according to current trader consensus. Tarrant County’s suburban demographics have shifted leftward in recent cycles, with Democrats posting gains among independents, Hispanic voters, and younger residents amid concerns over the economy and federal policy. Talarico’s strong primary performance, record fundraising exceeding $68 million, and targeted suburban outreach have reinforced this positioning, while Paxton’s primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn consolidated Republican support but left lingering questions about past legal issues. With early voting approaching and both campaigns focusing on turnout in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area, recent polling trends showing a competitive statewide contest have translated into elevated odds for the Democrat carrying this key county.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.
Volumen
$4,912
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 1:32 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Werden die Demokraten den Collin County im texanischen Senatsrennen 2026 gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten den Collin County im texanischen Senatsrennen 2026 gewinnen?

57%
Ja
icon for Werden die Demokraten den Bezirk Fort Bend bei der Senatswahl in Texas 2026 gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten den Bezirk Fort Bend bei der Senatswahl in Texas 2026 gewinnen?

72%
Ja
icon for Werden die Demokraten den Broward County im Senatsrennen in Florida 2026 gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten den Broward County im Senatsrennen in Florida 2026 gewinnen?

93%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Texas Senatswahl: Tarrant County Gewinner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „James Talarico (D)" mit 89%, gefolgt von „Ken Paxton (R)" mit 8%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 89¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 89% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Texas Senatswahl: Tarrant County Gewinner" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 1, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Texas Senatswahl: Tarrant County Gewinner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Texas Senatswahl: Tarrant County Gewinner" ist „James Talarico (D)" mit 89%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 89% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Ken Paxton (R)" mit 8%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Texas Senatswahl: Tarrant County Gewinner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.