**Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats (S) first at around 27-29%, Sweden Democrats (SD) second near 19%, and the Moderate Party (M) third at 16-18%, ahead of the Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Greens (MP), and Christian Democrats (KD) clustered in the 6-8% range.** This ordering has held steady through the final weeks of the campaign ahead of the September 13 election, with the right-wing bloc (including SD support for the M-KD-L government) narrowing but not overtaking the centre-left opposition. Late polls show the Liberals (L) clearing the 4% threshold at 5-6%, which may influence bloc seat totals but has not altered the top-three hierarchy. Trader consensus on M for third place reflects these consistent vote-intention trends and the absence of major last-minute shifts capable of elevating smaller parties above the Moderates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertModerate Party (M) 82%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 18%
Centre Party (C) <1%
Left Party (V) <1%
$91,753 Vol.
$91,753 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
18%

Moderate Party (M)
82%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 82%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 18%
Centre Party (C) <1%
Left Party (V) <1%
$91,753 Vol.
$91,753 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
18%

Moderate Party (M)
82%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Markt eröffnet: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats (S) first at around 27-29%, Sweden Democrats (SD) second near 19%, and the Moderate Party (M) third at 16-18%, ahead of the Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Greens (MP), and Christian Democrats (KD) clustered in the 6-8% range.** This ordering has held steady through the final weeks of the campaign ahead of the September 13 election, with the right-wing bloc (including SD support for the M-KD-L government) narrowing but not overtaking the centre-left opposition. Late polls show the Liberals (L) clearing the 4% threshold at 5-6%, which may influence bloc seat totals but has not altered the top-three hierarchy. Trader consensus on M for third place reflects these consistent vote-intention trends and the absence of major last-minute shifts capable of elevating smaller parties above the Moderates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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