The Sonora gubernatorial contest for 2027 shows a tight trader consensus around leading contenders, driven by Morena's ongoing internal selection process and competitive opposition positioning. Recent surveys from mid-2026 indicate Lorenia Valles Sampedro holding an edge in Morena preferences and general election matchups, though she remains close to figures like Javier Lamarque Cano and Célida López Cárdenas amid party unity pledges and territorial tours. Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas and other potential challengers register notable support in head-to-head scenarios, reflecting Morena's strong statewide identification near 40-50% alongside opposition from PAN and PRI-aligned candidates. Further separation could emerge from the completion of Morena's internal surveys, formal nominee announcements, or shifts in approval trends for the incumbent administration before the June 2027 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLorenia Valles Sampedro 43%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 37.9%
Javier Lamarque Cano 7%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 4.7%
$34,673 Vol.
$34,673 Vol.

Lorenia Valles Sampedro
43%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
38%

Javier Lamarque Cano
7%

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
5%

Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
4%

Ernesto Gándara Camou
4%

Natalia Rivera Grijalva
4%

Lilly Téllez García
2%

Manuel Scott Sánchez
2%

Froylán Gámez Gamboa
2%

Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
1%

María Dolores del Río Sánchez
1%

Víctor Hugo Celaya
1%

Guadalupe María Soto
1%

Rogelio Díaz Brown
1%

Omar del Valle Colosio
1%

Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%

Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%

Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
<1%
Lorenia Valles Sampedro 43%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 37.9%
Javier Lamarque Cano 7%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 4.7%
$34,673 Vol.
$34,673 Vol.

Lorenia Valles Sampedro
43%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
38%

Javier Lamarque Cano
7%

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
5%

Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
4%

Ernesto Gándara Camou
4%

Natalia Rivera Grijalva
4%

Lilly Téllez García
2%

Manuel Scott Sánchez
2%

Froylán Gámez Gamboa
2%

Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
1%

María Dolores del Río Sánchez
1%

Víctor Hugo Celaya
1%

Guadalupe María Soto
1%

Rogelio Díaz Brown
1%

Omar del Valle Colosio
1%

Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%

Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%

Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Sonora gubernatorial contest for 2027 shows a tight trader consensus around leading contenders, driven by Morena's ongoing internal selection process and competitive opposition positioning. Recent surveys from mid-2026 indicate Lorenia Valles Sampedro holding an edge in Morena preferences and general election matchups, though she remains close to figures like Javier Lamarque Cano and Célida López Cárdenas amid party unity pledges and territorial tours. Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas and other potential challengers register notable support in head-to-head scenarios, reflecting Morena's strong statewide identification near 40-50% alongside opposition from PAN and PRI-aligned candidates. Further separation could emerge from the completion of Morena's internal surveys, formal nominee announcements, or shifts in approval trends for the incumbent administration before the June 2027 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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