Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the New York 22nd congressional district race, backed by the district’s Solid Democratic rating from major forecasters and his substantial fundraising edge. As of mid-2026, Mannion reported nearly $3 million raised with over $1.8 million cash on hand, dwarfing challenger Kailee Buller’s totals of roughly $267,000 raised and under $190,000 on hand. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving limited opportunity for Republican momentum in a Central New York seat that includes Syracuse and Utica. Buller secured a Trump endorsement, yet the district’s partisan lean and Mannion’s incumbency have kept the contest off national targeting lists. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$22,266 Vol.
$22,266 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
John Mannion (D)
93%
Kailee Buller (R)
6%
$22,266 Vol.
$22,266 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
John Mannion (D)
$10,907 Vol.
93%
Kailee Buller (R)
$11,358 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the New York 22nd congressional district race, backed by the district’s Solid Democratic rating from major forecasters and his substantial fundraising edge. As of mid-2026, Mannion reported nearly $3 million raised with over $1.8 million cash on hand, dwarfing challenger Kailee Buller’s totals of roughly $267,000 raised and under $190,000 on hand. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving limited opportunity for Republican momentum in a Central New York seat that includes Syracuse and Utica. Buller secured a Trump endorsement, yet the district’s partisan lean and Mannion’s incumbency have kept the contest off national targeting lists. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volumen
$22,266Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the New York 22nd congressional district race, backed by the district’s Solid Democratic rating from major forecasters and his substantial fundraising edge. As of mid-2026, Mannion reported nearly $3 million raised with over $1.8 million cash on hand, dwarfing challenger Kailee Buller’s totals of roughly $267,000 raised and under $190,000 on hand. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving limited opportunity for Republican momentum in a Central New York seat that includes Syracuse and Utica. Buller secured a Trump endorsement, yet the district’s partisan lean and Mannion’s incumbency have kept the contest off national targeting lists. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$22,266Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the New York 22nd congressional district race, backed by the district’s Solid Democratic rating from major forecasters and his substantial fundraising edge. As of mid-2026, Mannion reported nearly $3 million raised with over $1.8 million cash on hand, dwarfing challenger Kailee Buller’s totals of roughly $267,000 raised and under $190,000 on hand. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, leaving limited opportunity for Republican momentum in a Central New York seat that includes Syracuse and Utica. Buller secured a Trump endorsement, yet the district’s partisan lean and Mannion’s incumbency have kept the contest off national targeting lists. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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