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icon for Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?
Politik·Südafrika

Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?

icon for Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?
Politik·Südafrika

Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?

Geordin Hill-Lewis 92%

Nontando Nolutshungu 2.5%

Roger Solomons 2.2%

Dereleen James 2.1%

Polymarket
NEU

Geordin Hill-Lewis 92%

Nontando Nolutshungu 2.5%

Roger Solomons 2.2%

Dereleen James 2.1%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Geordin Hill-Lewis

Geordin Hill-Lewis

$5,415 Vol.

92%

icon for Nontando Nolutshungu

Nontando Nolutshungu

$262 Vol.

2%

icon for Roger Solomons

Roger Solomons

$211 Vol.

2%

icon for Dereleen James

Dereleen James

$221 Vol.

2%

icon for Cheslyn Steenberg

Cheslyn Steenberg

$230 Vol.

2%

icon for Zelda Tarntaal

Zelda Tarntaal

$175 Vol.

1%

icon for Ernest Theron

Ernest Theron

$231 Vol.

1%

icon for Luvuyo Zondani

Luvuyo Zondani

$175 Vol.

1%

icon for Fiona Abrahams

Fiona Abrahams

$221 Vol.

1%

icon for Mareldia Chowglay

Mareldia Chowglay

$175 Vol.

1%

icon for Lwazi Pakade

Lwazi Pakade

$175 Vol.

1%

icon for Ndithini Tyhido

Ndithini Tyhido

$221 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ellen Pakkies

Ellen Pakkies

$308 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jeremiah Thuynsma

Jeremiah Thuynsma

$175 Vol.

<1%

icon for Khalid Sayed

Khalid Sayed

$329 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brett Herron

Brett Herron

$243 Vol.

<1%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis holds a commanding lead in the Cape Town mayoral market as the Democratic Alliance incumbent and federal party leader, with his June 2026 nomination and five-pledge platform on policing, jobs, service delivery, housing, and public spaces reinforcing trader confidence ahead of the November 4 local elections. The city’s record of job creation and infrastructure progress under his current term, combined with polling showing the DA well ahead of rivals, underpins the consensus that the party will again secure the largest council bloc and elect its candidate. Lower-probability challengers from parties including ActionSA, GOOD, and the Patriotic Alliance reflect limited prospects for an alternative coalition outcome. Late shifts in voter turnout or unexpected coalition negotiations after results could still alter the final council vote for mayor.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$8,770
Enddatum
18. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis holds a commanding lead in the Cape Town mayoral market as the Democratic Alliance incumbent and federal party leader, with his June 2026 nomination and five-pledge platform on policing, jobs, service delivery, housing, and public spaces reinforcing trader confidence ahead of the November 4 local elections. The city’s record of job creation and infrastructure progress under his current term, combined with polling showing the DA well ahead of rivals, underpins the consensus that the party will again secure the largest council bloc and elect its candidate. Lower-probability challengers from parties including ActionSA, GOOD, and the Patriotic Alliance reflect limited prospects for an alternative coalition outcome. Late shifts in voter turnout or unexpected coalition negotiations after results could still alter the final council vote for mayor.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$8,770
Enddatum
18. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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61%
icon for Wird Cilliers Brink der nächste Bürgermeister von Tshwane sein?

Wird Cilliers Brink der nächste Bürgermeister von Tshwane sein?

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Ja
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Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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„Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 16 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Geordin Hill-Lewis" mit 92%, gefolgt von „Nontando Nolutshungu" mit 2%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 92¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 92% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächster Bürgermeister von Kapstadt?" ist „Geordin Hill-Lewis" mit 92%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 92% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Nontando Nolutshungu" mit 2%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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