Skip to main content

Um in den USA zu traden, geh zu polymarket.us

icon for Gewinner der Senatswahl in Massachusetts
Politik·US-Wahl

Gewinner der Senatswahl in Massachusetts

icon for Gewinner der Senatswahl in Massachusetts
Politik·US-Wahl

Gewinner der Senatswahl in Massachusetts

Polymarket

$48,024 Vol.

Polymarket

$48,024 Vol.

icon for Ed Markey (D)

Ed Markey (D)

$35,054 Vol.

97%

icon for John Deaton (R)

John Deaton (R)

$12,970 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey holds a commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race after decisively winning his September 1 primary against Rep. Seth Moulton by roughly 30 points. The state's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential margins and a partisan voting index exceeding D+14, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 97% implied probability. Polling averages show Markey ahead of Republican nominee John Deaton by 20 points or more, consistent with historical patterns for Democratic Senate candidates in the commonwealth. Deaton's unopposed primary win provides limited momentum against these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome before November 3.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$48,024
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey holds a commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race after decisively winning his September 1 primary against Rep. Seth Moulton by roughly 30 points. The state's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential margins and a partisan voting index exceeding D+14, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 97% implied probability. Polling averages show Markey ahead of Republican nominee John Deaton by 20 points or more, consistent with historical patterns for Democratic Senate candidates in the commonwealth. Deaton's unopposed primary win provides limited momentum against these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Republican surge would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome before November 3.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$48,024
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Werden die Demokraten das Senatsrennen in Maine 2026 gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten das Senatsrennen in Maine 2026 gewinnen?

71%
Ja
icon for Werden die Demokraten das Senatsrennen in New Hampshire 2026 gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten das Senatsrennen in New Hampshire 2026 gewinnen?

83%
Ja
icon for Werden die Demokraten das Senatsrennen in Michigan 2026 gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten das Senatsrennen in Michigan 2026 gewinnen?

65%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Senatswahl in Massachusetts" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Ed Markey (D)" mit 97%, gefolgt von „John Deaton (R)" mit 3%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 97¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 97% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der Senatswahl in Massachusetts" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $48K generiert, seit der Markt am Oct 13, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Gewinner der Senatswahl in Massachusetts" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Senatswahl in Massachusetts" ist „Ed Markey (D)" mit 97%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 97% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „John Deaton (R)" mit 3%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Senatswahl in Massachusetts" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.