Chris Pappas secured the New Hampshire Democratic Senate nomination on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the vote to Karishma Manzur’s 33 percent, producing a margin that aligns with the market’s dominant 30–35 percent outcome. Pappas benefited from early endorsements by retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen and national figures including Kamala Harris, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million against Manzur’s under $500,000. As the four-term incumbent representative positioned as a pragmatic centrist, he maintained broad party support despite Manzur’s progressive appeals on healthcare and foreign policy. With final results now public and only minor outstanding ballots or certification steps remaining, traders see limited scope for shifts unless late adjustments materially alter the certified tally.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPappas 30–35 % 98.3%
Pappas 35–40 % 2.9%
Pappas 25–30 % 2.9%
Pappas 20–25% 2.9%
$6,345 Vol.
$6,345 Vol.
8. Sep. 2026
Pappas 40%+
2%
Pappas 35–40 %
3%
Pappas 30–35 %
98%
Pappas 25–30 %
3%
Pappas 20–25%
3%
Pappas 15–20 %
3%
Pappas 10–15 %
<1%
Pappas 5–10 %
<1%
Pappas 0–5 %
<1%
Manzur 0–5 %
<1%
Manzur 5%+
<1%
Pappas 30–35 % 98.3%
Pappas 35–40 % 2.9%
Pappas 25–30 % 2.9%
Pappas 20–25% 2.9%
$6,345 Vol.
$6,345 Vol.
8. Sep. 2026
Pappas 40%+
$1,831 Vol.
2%
Pappas 35–40 %
$305 Vol.
3%
Pappas 30–35 %
$480 Vol.
98%
Pappas 25–30 %
$373 Vol.
3%
Pappas 20–25%
$671 Vol.
3%
Pappas 15–20 %
$854 Vol.
3%
Pappas 10–15 %
$411 Vol.
<1%
Pappas 5–10 %
$384 Vol.
<1%
Pappas 0–5 %
$422 Vol.
<1%
Manzur 0–5 %
$363 Vol.
<1%
Manzur 5%+
$250 Vol.
<1%
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Chris Pappas secured the New Hampshire Democratic Senate nomination on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the vote to Karishma Manzur’s 33 percent, producing a margin that aligns with the market’s dominant 30–35 percent outcome. Pappas benefited from early endorsements by retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen and national figures including Kamala Harris, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million against Manzur’s under $500,000. As the four-term incumbent representative positioned as a pragmatic centrist, he maintained broad party support despite Manzur’s progressive appeals on healthcare and foreign policy. With final results now public and only minor outstanding ballots or certification steps remaining, traders see limited scope for shifts unless late adjustments materially alter the certified tally.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Volumen
$6,345Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Chris Pappas secured the New Hampshire Democratic Senate nomination on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the vote to Karishma Manzur’s 33 percent, producing a margin that aligns with the market’s dominant 30–35 percent outcome. Pappas benefited from early endorsements by retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen and national figures including Kamala Harris, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million against Manzur’s under $500,000. As the four-term incumbent representative positioned as a pragmatic centrist, he maintained broad party support despite Manzur’s progressive appeals on healthcare and foreign policy. With final results now public and only minor outstanding ballots or certification steps remaining, traders see limited scope for shifts unless late adjustments materially alter the certified tally.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
Volumen
$6,345Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Chris Pappas secured the New Hampshire Democratic Senate nomination on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the vote to Karishma Manzur’s 33 percent, producing a margin that aligns with the market’s dominant 30–35 percent outcome. Pappas benefited from early endorsements by retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen and national figures including Kamala Harris, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million against Manzur’s under $500,000. As the four-term incumbent representative positioned as a pragmatic centrist, he maintained broad party support despite Manzur’s progressive appeals on healthcare and foreign policy. With final results now public and only minor outstanding ballots or certification steps remaining, traders see limited scope for shifts unless late adjustments materially alter the certified tally.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird der Kandidat der Demokratischen Partei die Senatswahl 2026 in New Hampshire mit 6%-9% Vorsprung gewinnen?
25%
Ja
Wird der Kandidat der Republikanischen Partei die Gouverneurswahl 2026 in New Hampshire mit 12%-15% Vorsprung gewinnen?
24%
Ja
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 10%-15%?
28%
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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