Official forecasts from meteorological models and monitoring agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C in Shanghai on September 10 due to moderate overnight cloud cover, light northerly winds, and regional humidity levels that limit radiative cooling under typical early-autumn conditions. Recent model consensus aligns with this range, consistent with observed trends where September lows average around 21–23°C absent strong cold fronts or clear-sky extremes. Trader consensus at 95.5% for 22°C reflects this alignment between forecast outputs and historical baselines for the date. Unanticipated clear skies or shifts in steering patterns could push the low below 21°C, while delayed cloud dissipation or localized urban heat effects might hold it at or above 23°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 10. September?
22°C 96%
21°C 2.6%
20°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
$15,461 Vol.
$15,461 Vol.
18°C oder darunter
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
96%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 96%
21°C 2.6%
20°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
$15,461 Vol.
$15,461 Vol.
18°C oder darunter
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
96%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from meteorological models and monitoring agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C in Shanghai on September 10 due to moderate overnight cloud cover, light northerly winds, and regional humidity levels that limit radiative cooling under typical early-autumn conditions. Recent model consensus aligns with this range, consistent with observed trends where September lows average around 21–23°C absent strong cold fronts or clear-sky extremes. Trader consensus at 95.5% for 22°C reflects this alignment between forecast outputs and historical baselines for the date. Unanticipated clear skies or shifts in steering patterns could push the low below 21°C, while delayed cloud dissipation or localized urban heat effects might hold it at or above 23°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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