Forecaster consensus from the National Weather Service points to overnight lows in the low 80s°F for Miami on September 11, driven by persistent easterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling amid high atmospheric moisture. These conditions align with late-summer climatology in South Florida, where typical September minima hover near 77°F but current patterns support warmer readings. Trader positioning, with the highest implied probability on 80-81°F, reflects this guidance while distributing weight across 78-83°F bins due to model variability in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS runs and regional observations ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 11. September?
80-81°F 34%
76-77°F 25%
78-79°F 23%
82-83°F 22%
71°F oder darunter
8%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
2%
90°F oder höher
2%
80-81°F 34%
76-77°F 25%
78-79°F 23%
82-83°F 22%
71°F oder darunter
8%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
2%
90°F oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecaster consensus from the National Weather Service points to overnight lows in the low 80s°F for Miami on September 11, driven by persistent easterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling amid high atmospheric moisture. These conditions align with late-summer climatology in South Florida, where typical September minima hover near 77°F but current patterns support warmer readings. Trader positioning, with the highest implied probability on 80-81°F, reflects this guidance while distributing weight across 78-83°F bins due to model variability in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS runs and regional observations ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen