**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Mexico City on September 9, 2026, reflecting model agreement on typical late-summer conditions at the city's 2,300-meter elevation.** Forecasts from multiple sources consistently projected overnight lows near 12–14°C under patchy rain and high humidity, with hourly data showing minima around 12–14°C before daytime warming to 22–25°C. The rainy-season cloud cover and moderate steering patterns prevented sharper radiational cooling or cold-air intrusions that could have driven readings to 6–7°C or below. Recent model runs and official observations aligned closely with historical September baselines, leaving little room for outlier scenarios and supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 14°C bin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 9. September?
14°C 99%
6°C oder darunter 59%
7°C 59%
13°C 25%
$1,018 Vol.
$1,018 Vol.
6°C oder darunter
59%
7°C
59%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
7%
12°C
9%
13°C
25%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C oder höher
<1%
14°C 99%
6°C oder darunter 59%
7°C 59%
13°C 25%
$1,018 Vol.
$1,018 Vol.
6°C oder darunter
59%
7°C
59%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
7%
12°C
9%
13°C
25%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Mexico City on September 9, 2026, reflecting model agreement on typical late-summer conditions at the city's 2,300-meter elevation.** Forecasts from multiple sources consistently projected overnight lows near 12–14°C under patchy rain and high humidity, with hourly data showing minima around 12–14°C before daytime warming to 22–25°C. The rainy-season cloud cover and moderate steering patterns prevented sharper radiational cooling or cold-air intrusions that could have driven readings to 6–7°C or below. Recent model runs and official observations aligned closely with historical September baselines, leaving little room for outlier scenarios and supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 14°C bin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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