Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models indicate a minimum temperature for Lucknow on September 11 likely in the 24–27°C range, shaped by active monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. High humidity and reduced nighttime radiative cooling under overcast skies limit temperature drops, consistent with typical September baselines for the region where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C during the wet season. Model consensus shows light rain potential that could further moderate cooling, though variations in storm timing introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with capital-weighted odds favoring either sustained warmth above 32°C or cooler anomalies below 22°C amid ongoing forecast revisions ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Lucknow am 11. September?
32°C oder höher 92%
22°C oder darunter 90%
26°C 44%
24°C 40%
22°C oder darunter
90%
23°C
38%
24°C
40%
25°C
21%
26°C
25%
27°C
23%
28°C
38%
29°C
16%
30°C
16%
31°C
14%
32°C oder höher
92%
32°C oder höher 92%
22°C oder darunter 90%
26°C 44%
24°C 40%
22°C oder darunter
90%
23°C
38%
24°C
40%
25°C
21%
26°C
25%
27°C
23%
28°C
38%
29°C
16%
30°C
16%
31°C
14%
32°C oder höher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other models indicate a minimum temperature for Lucknow on September 11 likely in the 24–27°C range, shaped by active monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. High humidity and reduced nighttime radiative cooling under overcast skies limit temperature drops, consistent with typical September baselines for the region where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C during the wet season. Model consensus shows light rain potential that could further moderate cooling, though variations in storm timing introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with capital-weighted odds favoring either sustained warmth above 32°C or cooler anomalies below 22°C amid ongoing forecast revisions ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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