Latest meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on September 10 under partly cloudy skies and northeasterly flow, driving the 54.5% implied probability on 23°C as the leading outcome. Subtropical conditions typical for early autumn feature average lows of 24.6°C, with model consensus showing limited cooling from recent showers and moderate humidity around 60–70%. The 44.5% on 19°C or below reflects residual uncertainty from potential overnight radiative cooling or model spread, though historical records show such extremes are rare outside strong frontal passages. Official China Meteorological Administration observations, expected overnight, will resolve the market against these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 10. September?
19°C oder darunter 89%
22°C 3%
21°C 2%
20°C <1%
19°C oder darunter
89%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
55%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
19°C oder darunter 89%
22°C 3%
21°C 2%
20°C <1%
19°C oder darunter
89%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
55%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on September 10 under partly cloudy skies and northeasterly flow, driving the 54.5% implied probability on 23°C as the leading outcome. Subtropical conditions typical for early autumn feature average lows of 24.6°C, with model consensus showing limited cooling from recent showers and moderate humidity around 60–70%. The 44.5% on 19°C or below reflects residual uncertainty from potential overnight radiative cooling or model spread, though historical records show such extremes are rare outside strong frontal passages. Official China Meteorological Administration observations, expected overnight, will resolve the market against these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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