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Politik·Midterms

IA-01 Wahlsieger

icon for IA-01 Wahlsieger
Politik·Midterms

IA-01 Wahlsieger

Polymarket

$28,244 Vol.

Polymarket

$28,244 Vol.

Christina Bohannan (D)

$18,492 Vol.

74%

Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)

$9,753 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Bohannan leads the IA-01 House market at 73.5% amid a rematch against incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks in one of the nation’s most competitive districts. The race has drawn toss-up ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, with some forecasters leaning Democratic, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 margin of under 800 votes and historical swings. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by roughly three points, while midterm dynamics under the current administration, including elevated consumer prices and foreign policy pressures, have weighed on Republican positioning. Both candidates secured primaries decisively in June, and September campaign activity has centered on economic messaging, with Bohannan emphasizing costs and Miller-Meeks highlighting incumbency and party priorities ahead of the November general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,244
Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Bohannan leads the IA-01 House market at 73.5% amid a rematch against incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks in one of the nation’s most competitive districts. The race has drawn toss-up ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, with some forecasters leaning Democratic, reflecting the district’s narrow 2024 margin of under 800 votes and historical swings. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by roughly three points, while midterm dynamics under the current administration, including elevated consumer prices and foreign policy pressures, have weighed on Republican positioning. Both candidates secured primaries decisively in June, and September campaign activity has centered on economic messaging, with Bohannan emphasizing costs and Miller-Meeks highlighting incumbency and party priorities ahead of the November general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,244
Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den IA-03-Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den IA-03-Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

74%
Ja
icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den NE-01 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den NE-01 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

85%
Ja
icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den Sitz IA-04 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den Sitz IA-04 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

94%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„IA-01 Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Christina Bohannan (D)" mit 74%, gefolgt von „Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)" mit 23%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 74¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 74% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „IA-01 Wahlsieger" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $28.2K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „IA-01 Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „IA-01 Wahlsieger" ist „Christina Bohannan (D)" mit 74%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 74% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)" mit 23%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „IA-01 Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.