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icon for Wie viele Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus werden die Demokraten in Iowa gewinnen?
Politik·Trump

Wie viele Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus werden die Demokraten in Iowa gewinnen?

icon for Wie viele Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus werden die Demokraten in Iowa gewinnen?
Politik·Trump

Wie viele Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus werden die Demokraten in Iowa gewinnen?

3 41%

2 26%

1 22.1%

0 7.9%

Polymarket
NEU

3 41%

2 26%

1 22.1%

0 7.9%

Polymarket
NEU

0

$740 Vol.

8%

1

$999 Vol.

22%

2

$2,705 Vol.

26%

3

$2,103 Vol.

41%

4

$493 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Iowa in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Iowa US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Iowa's four congressional districts feature multiple competitive races heading into the November 2026 midterms, with all seats currently held by Republicans. Forecasters rate IA-1 as a toss-up or lean Democratic in the rematch between incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Christina Bohannan, while IA-3 between Zach Nunn and Sarah Trone Garriott sits near toss-up status. The open IA-2 seat, vacated by Ashley Hinson's Senate bid, draws Democratic targeting and ratings ranging from lean Republican to toss-up. IA-4 remains solidly Republican. Midterm dynamics, polling trends showing narrow margins in the battlegrounds, and national conditions have shaped trader views that Democrats are most likely to secure two or three seats, with lower probabilities assigned to one or four.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Iowa in the 2026 United States midterm election.

All Iowa US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.

Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.

Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Iowa in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Iowa US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$7,039
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 10:11 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Iowa in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Iowa US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Iowa's four congressional districts feature multiple competitive races heading into the November 2026 midterms, with all seats currently held by Republicans. Forecasters rate IA-1 as a toss-up or lean Democratic in the rematch between incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Christina Bohannan, while IA-3 between Zach Nunn and Sarah Trone Garriott sits near toss-up status. The open IA-2 seat, vacated by Ashley Hinson's Senate bid, draws Democratic targeting and ratings ranging from lean Republican to toss-up. IA-4 remains solidly Republican. Midterm dynamics, polling trends showing narrow margins in the battlegrounds, and national conditions have shaped trader views that Democrats are most likely to secure two or three seats, with lower probabilities assigned to one or four.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Iowa in the 2026 United States midterm election.

All Iowa US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.

Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.

Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Iowa in the 2026 United States midterm election. All Iowa US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$7,039
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 10:11 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen 2026 in Pennsylvania genau 9 Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen 2026 in Pennsylvania genau 9 Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

35%
Ja
icon for Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen 2026 in Minnesota genau 4 Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen 2026 in Minnesota genau 4 Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

60%
Ja
icon for Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen 2026 in Alabama genau 1 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen 2026 in Alabama genau 1 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

69%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wie viele Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus werden die Demokraten in Iowa gewinnen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „3" mit 41%, gefolgt von „2" mit 26%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 41¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 41% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wie viele Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus werden die Demokraten in Iowa gewinnen?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 11, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wie viele Sitze im Repräsentantenhaus werden die Demokraten in Iowa gewinnen?" ist „3" mit 41%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 41% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „2" mit 26%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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