Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo reaching a daily maximum of 28°C on September 15 amid cloudy, rainy conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with seasonal September baselines near 27–28°C, adjusted for current synoptic patterns including nearby low-pressure influences and thunderstorm activity that cap further warming. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus on these verified measurements and model agreement, with real capital backing the outcome. Realistic challenges include post-event data revisions from official stations or localized microclimate variations pushing the recorded high slightly outside the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 15. September?
28°C 100.0%
21°C oder weniger <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$87,375 Vol.
$87,375 Vol.
21°C oder weniger
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Ja
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C oder höher
Nein
28°C 100.0%
21°C oder weniger <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$87,375 Vol.
$87,375 Vol.
21°C oder weniger
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Ja
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo reaching a daily maximum of 28°C on September 15 amid cloudy, rainy conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns with seasonal September baselines near 27–28°C, adjusted for current synoptic patterns including nearby low-pressure influences and thunderstorm activity that cap further warming. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus on these verified measurements and model agreement, with real capital backing the outcome. Realistic challenges include post-event data revisions from official stations or localized microclimate variations pushing the recorded high slightly outside the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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