Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including Houston Intercontinental and Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 92–93°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin. Mid-September climatology for the region shows average highs near 89°F, but persistent late-summer warmth, elevated dew points, and the absence of a strong frontal passage kept readings in the low-to-mid 90s. Model guidance issued the prior day projected similar values with low uncertainty, and post-event verification confirmed no station exceeded or fell below the 92–93°F threshold. Only an anomalous localized cooling event or revised quality-control adjustment could alter the outcome, both highly improbable once preliminary climatological data are finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Houston am 16. September?
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F oder niedriger <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$36,982 Vol.
$36,982 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
81°F oder niedriger
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Ja
94-95°F
Nein
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100°F oder höher
Nein
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F oder niedriger <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$36,982 Vol.
$36,982 Vol.
16. Sep. 2026
81°F oder niedriger
$224 Vol.
Nein
82-83°F
$193 Vol.
Nein
84-85°F
$624 Vol.
Nein
86-87°F
$1,413 Vol.
Nein
88-89°F
$4,550 Vol.
Nein
90-91°F
$2,733 Vol.
Nein
92-93°F
$9,338 Vol.
Ja
94-95°F
$7,935 Vol.
Nein
96-97°F
$8,983 Vol.
Nein
98-99°F
$650 Vol.
Nein
100°F oder höher
$338 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including Houston Intercontinental and Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 92–93°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin. Mid-September climatology for the region shows average highs near 89°F, but persistent late-summer warmth, elevated dew points, and the absence of a strong frontal passage kept readings in the low-to-mid 90s. Model guidance issued the prior day projected similar values with low uncertainty, and post-event verification confirmed no station exceeded or fell below the 92–93°F threshold. Only an anomalous localized cooling event or revised quality-control adjustment could alter the outcome, both highly improbable once preliminary climatological data are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$36,982Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including Houston Intercontinental and Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 92–93°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin. Mid-September climatology for the region shows average highs near 89°F, but persistent late-summer warmth, elevated dew points, and the absence of a strong frontal passage kept readings in the low-to-mid 90s. Model guidance issued the prior day projected similar values with low uncertainty, and post-event verification confirmed no station exceeded or fell below the 92–93°F threshold. Only an anomalous localized cooling event or revised quality-control adjustment could alter the outcome, both highly improbable once preliminary climatological data are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$36,982Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including Houston Intercontinental and Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 92–93°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for that bin. Mid-September climatology for the region shows average highs near 89°F, but persistent late-summer warmth, elevated dew points, and the absence of a strong frontal passage kept readings in the low-to-mid 90s. Model guidance issued the prior day projected similar values with low uncertainty, and post-event verification confirmed no station exceeded or fell below the 92–93°F threshold. Only an anomalous localized cooling event or revised quality-control adjustment could alter the outcome, both highly improbable once preliminary climatological data are finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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