Official meteorological records from Tel Aviv stations on September 20, 2026, showed a daily maximum temperature of 30.2°C under clear skies with light westerly winds, aligning precisely with the 31°C market outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. This reading fits within the month's observed warming trend, where daily highs averaged above the 26.6°C climatological norm amid stable high-pressure conditions that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating. NOAA and Israeli meteorological service data releases after the event eliminated remaining forecast uncertainty, confirming the threshold without model divergence. Only an unprecedented revision in official station measurements or redefinition of the daily maximum window could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain highly improbable given multiple verifying sources.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 20. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 20. September?
31°C 100.0%
27°C oder weniger <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,992 Vol.
$28,992 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
27°C oder weniger
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Ja
32°C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C oder höher
Nein
31°C 100.0%
27°C oder weniger <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,992 Vol.
$28,992 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
27°C oder weniger
$7,988 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$1,713 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$1,511 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$6,625 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$4,186 Vol.
Ja
32°C
$2,662 Vol.
Nein
33°C
$2,231 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$921 Vol.
Nein
35°C
$551 Vol.
Nein
36°C
$402 Vol.
Nein
37°C oder höher
$202 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from Tel Aviv stations on September 20, 2026, showed a daily maximum temperature of 30.2°C under clear skies with light westerly winds, aligning precisely with the 31°C market outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. This reading fits within the month's observed warming trend, where daily highs averaged above the 26.6°C climatological norm amid stable high-pressure conditions that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating. NOAA and Israeli meteorological service data releases after the event eliminated remaining forecast uncertainty, confirming the threshold without model divergence. Only an unprecedented revision in official station measurements or redefinition of the daily maximum window could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain highly improbable given multiple verifying sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$28,992Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from Tel Aviv stations on September 20, 2026, showed a daily maximum temperature of 30.2°C under clear skies with light westerly winds, aligning precisely with the 31°C market outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. This reading fits within the month's observed warming trend, where daily highs averaged above the 26.6°C climatological norm amid stable high-pressure conditions that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating. NOAA and Israeli meteorological service data releases after the event eliminated remaining forecast uncertainty, confirming the threshold without model divergence. Only an unprecedented revision in official station measurements or redefinition of the daily maximum window could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain highly improbable given multiple verifying sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$28,992Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official meteorological records from Tel Aviv stations on September 20, 2026, showed a daily maximum temperature of 30.2°C under clear skies with light westerly winds, aligning precisely with the 31°C market outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. This reading fits within the month's observed warming trend, where daily highs averaged above the 26.6°C climatological norm amid stable high-pressure conditions that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating. NOAA and Israeli meteorological service data releases after the event eliminated remaining forecast uncertainty, confirming the threshold without model divergence. Only an unprecedented revision in official station measurements or redefinition of the daily maximum window could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain highly improbable given multiple verifying sources.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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