**Trader consensus centers on a 27°C high for Qingdao on September 10, 2026, reflecting official forecasts of 26–28°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies.** Multiple meteorological sources, including regional forecasts, project a daytime maximum near 27°C with northerly winds of 3–4 levels moderating coastal conditions and limiting further warming. Hourly observations show temperatures climbing from morning lows around 14–18°C to afternoon peaks of 27°C before declining, consistent with typical early-September patterns for the region where sea breezes and cloud cover cap extremes. The 52% implied probability on 27°C and 27% on 28°C align with minor model variations in peak timing and insolation, while lower odds on 26°C or 29°C+ reflect the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance. No significant deviations from baseline climatology or rapid atmospheric shifts have emerged to alter this positioning ahead of final daily readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 10. September?
27°C 47%
28°C 32%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
$10,600 Vol.
$10,600 Vol.
23°C oder darunter
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
13%
27°C
47%
28°C
32%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 47%
28°C 32%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
$10,600 Vol.
$10,600 Vol.
23°C oder darunter
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
13%
27°C
47%
28°C
32%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 27°C high for Qingdao on September 10, 2026, reflecting official forecasts of 26–28°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies.** Multiple meteorological sources, including regional forecasts, project a daytime maximum near 27°C with northerly winds of 3–4 levels moderating coastal conditions and limiting further warming. Hourly observations show temperatures climbing from morning lows around 14–18°C to afternoon peaks of 27°C before declining, consistent with typical early-September patterns for the region where sea breezes and cloud cover cap extremes. The 52% implied probability on 27°C and 27% on 28°C align with minor model variations in peak timing and insolation, while lower odds on 26°C or 29°C+ reflect the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance. No significant deviations from baseline climatology or rapid atmospheric shifts have emerged to alter this positioning ahead of final daily readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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