Recent forecast consensus from global models, including GFS outputs, indicates a daytime high of 27–28°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure. These conditions favor moderate diurnal warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.7°C, driving the 28°C outcome to 52% implied probability and 27°C to 28%. Limited precipitation chances and clear evening trends reduce cooling, while minor model spread keeps 29°C as a plausible outlier at 14.5%. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify any last adjustments from steering patterns or cloud evolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 14. September?
28°C 51%
29°C 20%
27°C 19%
26°C 6%
NEU
$21,557 Vol.
NEU
$21,557 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
19%
28°C
51%
29°C
20%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 51%
29°C 20%
27°C 19%
26°C 6%
NEU
$21,557 Vol.
NEU
$21,557 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
$802 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$369 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,582 Vol.
2%
26°C
$3,817 Vol.
6%
27°C
$3,959 Vol.
19%
28°C
$6,451 Vol.
51%
29°C
$3,200 Vol.
20%
30°C
$80 Vol.
3%
31°C
$446 Vol.
1%
32°C oder höher
$803 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global models, including GFS outputs, indicates a daytime high of 27–28°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure. These conditions favor moderate diurnal warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.7°C, driving the 28°C outcome to 52% implied probability and 27°C to 28%. Limited precipitation chances and clear evening trends reduce cooling, while minor model spread keeps 29°C as a plausible outlier at 14.5%. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify any last adjustments from steering patterns or cloud evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$21,557Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global models, including GFS outputs, indicates a daytime high of 27–28°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure. These conditions favor moderate diurnal warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.7°C, driving the 28°C outcome to 52% implied probability and 27°C to 28%. Limited precipitation chances and clear evening trends reduce cooling, while minor model spread keeps 29°C as a plausible outlier at 14.5%. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify any last adjustments from steering patterns or cloud evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,557Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from global models, including GFS outputs, indicates a daytime high of 27–28°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure. These conditions favor moderate diurnal warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 21.7°C, driving the 28°C outcome to 52% implied probability and 27°C to 28%. Limited precipitation chances and clear evening trends reduce cooling, while minor model spread keeps 29°C as a plausible outlier at 14.5%. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify any last adjustments from steering patterns or cloud evolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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