Traders assign near-certainty to a 25°C high in Milan on September 22 because official forecast models, including consensus runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services, converge on that exact maximum under stable anticyclonic conditions and light winds. Recent observational data from regional stations show daytime temperatures tracking the upper end of seasonal normals for late September without significant diurnal heating or cooling anomalies. This alignment of dynamical and statistical guidance leaves little room for deviation within the market’s resolution criteria. Only an abrupt shift in synoptic flow, such as an unforecasted frontal passage or localized convective cooling, would realistically alter the outcome before official verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 22. September?
25°C 100%
19°C oder niedriger <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$68,426 Vol.
$68,426 Vol.
19°C oder niedriger
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Ja
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C oder höher
Nein
25°C 100%
19°C oder niedriger <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$68,426 Vol.
$68,426 Vol.
19°C oder niedriger
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Ja
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Traders assign near-certainty to a 25°C high in Milan on September 22 because official forecast models, including consensus runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services, converge on that exact maximum under stable anticyclonic conditions and light winds. Recent observational data from regional stations show daytime temperatures tracking the upper end of seasonal normals for late September without significant diurnal heating or cooling anomalies. This alignment of dynamical and statistical guidance leaves little room for deviation within the market’s resolution criteria. Only an abrupt shift in synoptic flow, such as an unforecasted frontal passage or localized convective cooling, would realistically alter the outcome before official verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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