Recent flash drought intensification across the Southern Plains, Lower Mississippi Valley, and parts of the Southeast—driven by the contiguous U.S. experiencing its warmest June–August on record with below-normal precipitation—has sustained D3–D4 conditions in limited areas. As of the September 24 U.S. Drought Monitor (data valid September 22), exceptional drought (D4) covers roughly 1.8% of the U.S., concentrated where multi-week deficits have depleted soil moisture, streamflow, and groundwater below the 2nd percentile. The National Drought Mitigation Center and NOAA note ongoing monitoring of short-term dryness indicators alongside longer-term water supply metrics. The next USDM release, expected October 1 with data valid around September 29–30, will incorporate any late-September rainfall; seasonal outlooks tied to emerging El Niño patterns favor above-normal precipitation across parts of the southern tier, which could limit further D4 expansion or trigger localized improvement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAußergewöhnliche Dürre (D4) nach Bundesstaat — Woche vom 29. September 2026

Alabama
5%

Arizona
5%

Arkansas
98%

Kalifornien
4%

Colorado
95%

Delaware
4%

Florida
4%

Georgia
5%

Idaho
97%

Illinois
5%

Indiana
6%

Iowa
6%

Kansas
6%

Kentucky
6%

Louisiana
7%

Maryland
7%

Minnesota
4%

Mississippi
95%

Missouri
25%

Montana
5%

Nebraska
75%

Nevada
92%

New Jersey
13%

New Mexico
87%

North Carolina
86%

North Dakota
6%

Ohio
5%

Oklahoma
98%

Oregon
96%

Pennsylvania
6%

South Carolina
5%

South Dakota
6%

Tennessee
6%

Texas
89%

Utah
26%

Virginia
25%

Washington
13%

West Virginia
5%

Wisconsin
75%

Wyoming
13%
$796 Vol.

Alabama
5%

Arizona
5%

Arkansas
98%

Kalifornien
4%

Colorado
95%

Delaware
4%

Florida
4%

Georgia
5%

Idaho
97%

Illinois
5%

Indiana
6%

Iowa
6%

Kansas
6%

Kentucky
6%

Louisiana
7%

Maryland
7%

Minnesota
4%

Mississippi
95%

Missouri
25%

Montana
5%

Nebraska
75%

Nevada
92%

New Jersey
13%

New Mexico
87%

North Carolina
86%

North Dakota
6%

Ohio
5%

Oklahoma
98%

Oregon
96%

Pennsylvania
6%

South Carolina
5%

South Dakota
6%

Tennessee
6%

Texas
89%

Utah
26%

Virginia
25%

Washington
13%

West Virginia
5%

Wisconsin
75%

Wyoming
13%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 29, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 24, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxAbwickler
0x65070be91...D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 29, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxAbwickler
0x65070be91...Recent flash drought intensification across the Southern Plains, Lower Mississippi Valley, and parts of the Southeast—driven by the contiguous U.S. experiencing its warmest June–August on record with below-normal precipitation—has sustained D3–D4 conditions in limited areas. As of the September 24 U.S. Drought Monitor (data valid September 22), exceptional drought (D4) covers roughly 1.8% of the U.S., concentrated where multi-week deficits have depleted soil moisture, streamflow, and groundwater below the 2nd percentile. The National Drought Mitigation Center and NOAA note ongoing monitoring of short-term dryness indicators alongside longer-term water supply metrics. The next USDM release, expected October 1 with data valid around September 29–30, will incorporate any late-September rainfall; seasonal outlooks tied to emerging El Niño patterns favor above-normal precipitation across parts of the southern tier, which could limit further D4 expansion or trigger localized improvement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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