A persistent weather perturbation over northern Italy is driving trader consensus toward a 21–22°C peak in Milan on September 10, with the 35.5% and 32% shares on those outcomes reflecting model consensus on suppressed daytime heating. Thick cloud cover and widespread rain reduce solar insolation while evaporative cooling and easterly advection of cooler air limit temperature rise, consistent with official forecasts showing maxima of 19–23°C under 80–100% cloud cover and moderate precipitation. The narrow spread between leading bins captures uncertainty in shower timing and intensity across regional models, with only modest probability assigned to 23°C or higher given the ongoing synoptic cooling. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution thresholds as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 10. September?
22°C 36%
21°C 32%
23°C 16%
20°C 12%
NEU
$23,430 Vol.
NEU
$23,430 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
14°C oder weniger
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
32%
22°C
36%
23°C
16%
24°C oder höher
7%
22°C 36%
21°C 32%
23°C 16%
20°C 12%
NEU
$23,430 Vol.
NEU
$23,430 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
14°C oder weniger
$1,288 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,352 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,349 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$767 Vol.
1%
19°C
$605 Vol.
3%
20°C
$1,967 Vol.
12%
21°C
$3,021 Vol.
32%
22°C
$4,811 Vol.
36%
23°C
$4,226 Vol.
16%
24°C oder höher
$3,631 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent weather perturbation over northern Italy is driving trader consensus toward a 21–22°C peak in Milan on September 10, with the 35.5% and 32% shares on those outcomes reflecting model consensus on suppressed daytime heating. Thick cloud cover and widespread rain reduce solar insolation while evaporative cooling and easterly advection of cooler air limit temperature rise, consistent with official forecasts showing maxima of 19–23°C under 80–100% cloud cover and moderate precipitation. The narrow spread between leading bins captures uncertainty in shower timing and intensity across regional models, with only modest probability assigned to 23°C or higher given the ongoing synoptic cooling. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution thresholds as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$23,430Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent weather perturbation over northern Italy is driving trader consensus toward a 21–22°C peak in Milan on September 10, with the 35.5% and 32% shares on those outcomes reflecting model consensus on suppressed daytime heating. Thick cloud cover and widespread rain reduce solar insolation while evaporative cooling and easterly advection of cooler air limit temperature rise, consistent with official forecasts showing maxima of 19–23°C under 80–100% cloud cover and moderate precipitation. The narrow spread between leading bins captures uncertainty in shower timing and intensity across regional models, with only modest probability assigned to 23°C or higher given the ongoing synoptic cooling. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution thresholds as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$23,430Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...A persistent weather perturbation over northern Italy is driving trader consensus toward a 21–22°C peak in Milan on September 10, with the 35.5% and 32% shares on those outcomes reflecting model consensus on suppressed daytime heating. Thick cloud cover and widespread rain reduce solar insolation while evaporative cooling and easterly advection of cooler air limit temperature rise, consistent with official forecasts showing maxima of 19–23°C under 80–100% cloud cover and moderate precipitation. The narrow spread between leading bins captures uncertainty in shower timing and intensity across regional models, with only modest probability assigned to 23°C or higher given the ongoing synoptic cooling. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution thresholds as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen