Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on 32°C as Manila’s highest temperature for September 14 due to consistent official forecasts and observational data from PAGASA and regional models showing afternoon peaks reaching that threshold amid typical southwest monsoon conditions. High humidity near 80-90%, light variable winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms have maintained daytime maxima close to the long-term September average of 31°C without significant cooling or intensification. Model consensus points to stable atmospheric patterns with no major frontal systems or enhanced cloud cover expected to suppress readings below this level. A realistic shift away from 32°C would require either heavier sustained rainfall or an unforecasted surge in solar heating that pushes observations to 33°C or higher before evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 14. September?
32°C 100.0%
26°C oder weniger <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$29,169 Vol.
$29,169 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
26°C oder weniger
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Ja
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C oder höher
Nein
32°C 100.0%
26°C oder weniger <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$29,169 Vol.
$29,169 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
26°C oder weniger
$297 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$297 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$689 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$886 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$1,210 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$6,334 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$9,175 Vol.
Ja
33°C
$6,362 Vol.
Nein
34°C
$3,237 Vol.
Nein
35°C
$466 Vol.
Nein
36°C oder höher
$217 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on 32°C as Manila’s highest temperature for September 14 due to consistent official forecasts and observational data from PAGASA and regional models showing afternoon peaks reaching that threshold amid typical southwest monsoon conditions. High humidity near 80-90%, light variable winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms have maintained daytime maxima close to the long-term September average of 31°C without significant cooling or intensification. Model consensus points to stable atmospheric patterns with no major frontal systems or enhanced cloud cover expected to suppress readings below this level. A realistic shift away from 32°C would require either heavier sustained rainfall or an unforecasted surge in solar heating that pushes observations to 33°C or higher before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$29,169Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on 32°C as Manila’s highest temperature for September 14 due to consistent official forecasts and observational data from PAGASA and regional models showing afternoon peaks reaching that threshold amid typical southwest monsoon conditions. High humidity near 80-90%, light variable winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms have maintained daytime maxima close to the long-term September average of 31°C without significant cooling or intensification. Model consensus points to stable atmospheric patterns with no major frontal systems or enhanced cloud cover expected to suppress readings below this level. A realistic shift away from 32°C would require either heavier sustained rainfall or an unforecasted surge in solar heating that pushes observations to 33°C or higher before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$29,169Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on 32°C as Manila’s highest temperature for September 14 due to consistent official forecasts and observational data from PAGASA and regional models showing afternoon peaks reaching that threshold amid typical southwest monsoon conditions. High humidity near 80-90%, light variable winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms have maintained daytime maxima close to the long-term September average of 31°C without significant cooling or intensification. Model consensus points to stable atmospheric patterns with no major frontal systems or enhanced cloud cover expected to suppress readings below this level. A realistic shift away from 32°C would require either heavier sustained rainfall or an unforecasted surge in solar heating that pushes observations to 33°C or higher before evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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