The Pakistan Meteorological Department’s forecast and station observations have driven near-unanimous trader positioning on a 39°C high for Karachi on September 22, reflecting the lingering influence of a recently dissipated low-pressure system that suppressed the sea breeze and sustained elevated temperatures into the current period. Official guidance places the maximum between 36–38°C under mostly sunny skies with light westerly winds and humidity near 70–80% in the morning, consistent with climatological norms for late-September heat in southern Sindh but slightly above the seasonal baseline. This market-implied outcome aligns with the upper end of verified model consensus and recent station data showing persistent warmth. A stronger-than-anticipated sea breeze or faster model cooling could shift readings toward 37°C or below, though such revisions appear limited given the latest PMD update.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Karatschi am 22. September?
39°C 100%
31°C oder niedriger <1%
32 °C <1%
33°C <1%
$33,705 Vol.
$33,705 Vol.
31°C oder niedriger
Nein
32 °C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C
Nein
38°C
Nein
39°C
Ja
40°C
Nein
41°C oder höher
Nein
39°C 100%
31°C oder niedriger <1%
32 °C <1%
33°C <1%
$33,705 Vol.
$33,705 Vol.
31°C oder niedriger
Nein
32 °C
Nein
33°C
Nein
34°C
Nein
35°C
Nein
36°C
Nein
37°C
Nein
38°C
Nein
39°C
Ja
40°C
Nein
41°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The Pakistan Meteorological Department’s forecast and station observations have driven near-unanimous trader positioning on a 39°C high for Karachi on September 22, reflecting the lingering influence of a recently dissipated low-pressure system that suppressed the sea breeze and sustained elevated temperatures into the current period. Official guidance places the maximum between 36–38°C under mostly sunny skies with light westerly winds and humidity near 70–80% in the morning, consistent with climatological norms for late-September heat in southern Sindh but slightly above the seasonal baseline. This market-implied outcome aligns with the upper end of verified model consensus and recent station data showing persistent warmth. A stronger-than-anticipated sea breeze or faster model cooling could shift readings toward 37°C or below, though such revisions appear limited given the latest PMD update.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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