Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicates a high of 24–25°C for Istanbul on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk, aligning with typical mid-September conditions near the long-term average. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal recent temperature shifts from current readings around 24°C support this outlook, though slight model variations in cloud cover or wind could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 23°C versus lower odds for 24°C, appears to price in measurement uncertainty at official stations and the potential for minor cooling influences ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 15. September?
23°C 56%
22°C 27%
24°C 14%
21°C 9%
18°C oder darunter
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
56%
24°C
14%
25°C
7%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C oder höher
2%
23°C 56%
22°C 27%
24°C 14%
21°C 9%
18°C oder darunter
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
56%
24°C
14%
25°C
7%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicates a high of 24–25°C for Istanbul on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk, aligning with typical mid-September conditions near the long-term average. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal recent temperature shifts from current readings around 24°C support this outlook, though slight model variations in cloud cover or wind could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 54.5% implied probability for 23°C versus lower odds for 24°C, appears to price in measurement uncertainty at official stations and the potential for minor cooling influences ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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