Traders have overwhelmingly priced 62-63°F as the highest temperature recorded in Chicago on September 22 because official NOAA station observations and National Weather Service summaries confirmed a daily maximum in that narrow range. This outcome aligns with the arrival of a cooler air mass behind a passing frontal boundary that suppressed afternoon heating across the Midwest, keeping readings below the late-September climatological average near 70°F. Verified surface data released shortly after the observation window eliminated nearly all uncertainty, producing the near-100% market-implied probability. Only an unusually large post-analysis correction to the official record could alter the result, an infrequent occurrence once preliminary measurements undergo quality control.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 22. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 22. September?
62-63°F 100%
53°F oder niedriger <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$88,572 Vol.
$88,572 Vol.
22. Sep. 2026
53°F oder niedriger
Nein
54-55°F
Nein
56-57°F
Nein
58-59 °F
Nein
60-61°F
Nein
62-63°F
Ja
64-65°F
Nein
66-67°F
Nein
68-69°F
Nein
70-71°F
Nein
72°F oder höher
Nein
62-63°F 100%
53°F oder niedriger <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$88,572 Vol.
$88,572 Vol.
22. Sep. 2026
53°F oder niedriger
$1,145 Vol.
Nein
54-55°F
$3,991 Vol.
Nein
56-57°F
$4,201 Vol.
Nein
58-59 °F
$7,242 Vol.
Nein
60-61°F
$38,303 Vol.
Nein
62-63°F
$16,301 Vol.
Ja
64-65°F
$9,212 Vol.
Nein
66-67°F
$5,160 Vol.
Nein
68-69°F
$1,593 Vol.
Nein
70-71°F
$650 Vol.
Nein
72°F oder höher
$774 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly priced 62-63°F as the highest temperature recorded in Chicago on September 22 because official NOAA station observations and National Weather Service summaries confirmed a daily maximum in that narrow range. This outcome aligns with the arrival of a cooler air mass behind a passing frontal boundary that suppressed afternoon heating across the Midwest, keeping readings below the late-September climatological average near 70°F. Verified surface data released shortly after the observation window eliminated nearly all uncertainty, producing the near-100% market-implied probability. Only an unusually large post-analysis correction to the official record could alter the result, an infrequent occurrence once preliminary measurements undergo quality control.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$88,572Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly priced 62-63°F as the highest temperature recorded in Chicago on September 22 because official NOAA station observations and National Weather Service summaries confirmed a daily maximum in that narrow range. This outcome aligns with the arrival of a cooler air mass behind a passing frontal boundary that suppressed afternoon heating across the Midwest, keeping readings below the late-September climatological average near 70°F. Verified surface data released shortly after the observation window eliminated nearly all uncertainty, producing the near-100% market-implied probability. Only an unusually large post-analysis correction to the official record could alter the result, an infrequent occurrence once preliminary measurements undergo quality control.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$88,572Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Traders have overwhelmingly priced 62-63°F as the highest temperature recorded in Chicago on September 22 because official NOAA station observations and National Weather Service summaries confirmed a daily maximum in that narrow range. This outcome aligns with the arrival of a cooler air mass behind a passing frontal boundary that suppressed afternoon heating across the Midwest, keeping readings below the late-September climatological average near 70°F. Verified surface data released shortly after the observation window eliminated nearly all uncertainty, producing the near-100% market-implied probability. Only an unusually large post-analysis correction to the official record could alter the result, an infrequent occurrence once preliminary measurements undergo quality control.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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