**Trader consensus has coalesced around 19°C as the day's maximum in Ankara because official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and real-time observations align on a peak near that value under stable high-pressure conditions.** With partly cloudy to clear skies, light northerly winds, and surface temperatures climbing from morning lows around 9°C, hourly data from central stations and Esenboga Airport show readings topping out at 18–19°C by mid-afternoon before declining. This matches climatological expectations for late September, when daytime highs typically fall 2–4°C from earlier in the month amid cooling air masses. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects verified observational trends rather than long-range model spreads. Only a late-day surge from unexpected southerly flow or measurement revision at the primary reporting station could realistically shift the recorded high above or below 19°C before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 24. September?
19°C 99.9%
14°C oder darunter <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$31,423 Vol.
$31,423 Vol.
14°C oder darunter
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 99.9%
14°C oder darunter <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$31,423 Vol.
$31,423 Vol.
14°C oder darunter
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...**Trader consensus has coalesced around 19°C as the day's maximum in Ankara because official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and real-time observations align on a peak near that value under stable high-pressure conditions.** With partly cloudy to clear skies, light northerly winds, and surface temperatures climbing from morning lows around 9°C, hourly data from central stations and Esenboga Airport show readings topping out at 18–19°C by mid-afternoon before declining. This matches climatological expectations for late September, when daytime highs typically fall 2–4°C from earlier in the month amid cooling air masses. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects verified observational trends rather than long-range model spreads. Only a late-day surge from unexpected southerly flow or measurement revision at the primary reporting station could realistically shift the recorded high above or below 19°C before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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