**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 22–23°C as the most probable high for Amsterdam on September 14, 2026.** Current guidance from sources including GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local European services shows a daytime maximum near 22–23°C (roughly 71–73°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow. This is several degrees above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 19.4°C for the date. Light showers or fog are possible in the morning, but they are not expected to suppress the afternoon peak. Trader-implied probabilities (51% for 22°C, 39.5% for 23°C) closely track the tight clustering of official and ensemble forecasts, with lower odds on 21°C or 24°C reflecting the remaining spread in model solutions. No significant synoptic changes—such as stronger Atlantic fronts or blocking highs—are indicated in the latest 24–48 hour updates that would push the outcome outside this narrow range. Historical analogs for similar late-summer setups further support a modest positive temperature anomaly without extreme outliers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 14. September?
22°C 52%
23°C 38%
21°C 10%
24°C 4%
NEU
$10,731 Vol.
NEU
$10,731 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
52%
23°C
38%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 52%
23°C 38%
21°C 10%
24°C 4%
NEU
$10,731 Vol.
NEU
$10,731 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
$153 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$138 Vol.
1%
20°C
$958 Vol.
2%
21°C
$1,623 Vol.
10%
22°C
$2,204 Vol.
52%
23°C
$2,774 Vol.
38%
24°C
$1,245 Vol.
4%
25°C
$363 Vol.
2%
26°C oder höher
$464 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 22–23°C as the most probable high for Amsterdam on September 14, 2026.**
Current guidance from sources including GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local European services shows a daytime maximum near 22–23°C (roughly 71–73°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow. This is several degrees above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 19.4°C for the date. Light showers or fog are possible in the morning, but they are not expected to suppress the afternoon peak.
Trader-implied probabilities (51% for 22°C, 39.5% for 23°C) closely track the tight clustering of official and ensemble forecasts, with lower odds on 21°C or 24°C reflecting the remaining spread in model solutions. No significant synoptic changes—such as stronger Atlantic fronts or blocking highs—are indicated in the latest 24–48 hour updates that would push the outcome outside this narrow range. Historical analogs for similar late-summer setups further support a modest positive temperature anomaly without extreme outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$10,731Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 22–23°C as the most probable high for Amsterdam on September 14, 2026.**
Current guidance from sources including GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local European services shows a daytime maximum near 22–23°C (roughly 71–73°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow. This is several degrees above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 19.4°C for the date. Light showers or fog are possible in the morning, but they are not expected to suppress the afternoon peak.
Trader-implied probabilities (51% for 22°C, 39.5% for 23°C) closely track the tight clustering of official and ensemble forecasts, with lower odds on 21°C or 24°C reflecting the remaining spread in model solutions. No significant synoptic changes—such as stronger Atlantic fronts or blocking highs—are indicated in the latest 24–48 hour updates that would push the outcome outside this narrow range. Historical analogs for similar late-summer setups further support a modest positive temperature anomaly without extreme outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,731Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions 22–23°C as the most probable high for Amsterdam on September 14, 2026.** Current guidance from sources including GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local European services shows a daytime maximum near 22–23°C (roughly 71–73°F) under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow. This is several degrees above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 19.4°C for the date. Light showers or fog are possible in the morning, but they are not expected to suppress the afternoon peak. Trader-implied probabilities (51% for 22°C, 39.5% for 23°C) closely track the tight clustering of official and ensemble forecasts, with lower odds on 21°C or 24°C reflecting the remaining spread in model solutions. No significant synoptic changes—such as stronger Atlantic fronts or blocking highs—are indicated in the latest 24–48 hour updates that would push the outcome outside this narrow range. Historical analogs for similar late-summer setups further support a modest positive temperature anomaly without extreme outliers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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