Incumbent Democrat Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in Hawaii’s 2nd congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the party’s 17.5-point presidential margin there in 2024. Tokuda secured over 91% in the August 8 Democratic primary against minor challengers, while Republican state Sen. Brenton Awa advanced unopposed. Multiple forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, and Tokuda maintains a substantial fundraising edge heading into the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant shifts in voter turnout could still influence the outcome before ballots close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHI-02 Wahlsieger
HI-02 Wahlsieger
$63,531 Vol.
$63,531 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Jill Tokuda (D)
96%
Brenton Awa (R)
6%
$63,531 Vol.
$63,531 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Jill Tokuda (D)
$43,095 Vol.
96%
Brenton Awa (R)
$20,436 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in Hawaii’s 2nd congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the party’s 17.5-point presidential margin there in 2024. Tokuda secured over 91% in the August 8 Democratic primary against minor challengers, while Republican state Sen. Brenton Awa advanced unopposed. Multiple forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, and Tokuda maintains a substantial fundraising edge heading into the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant shifts in voter turnout could still influence the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$63,531Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in Hawaii’s 2nd congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the party’s 17.5-point presidential margin there in 2024. Tokuda secured over 91% in the August 8 Democratic primary against minor challengers, while Republican state Sen. Brenton Awa advanced unopposed. Multiple forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, and Tokuda maintains a substantial fundraising edge heading into the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant shifts in voter turnout could still influence the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$63,531Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in Hawaii’s 2nd congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and the party’s 17.5-point presidential margin there in 2024. Tokuda secured over 91% in the August 8 Democratic primary against minor challengers, while Republican state Sen. Brenton Awa advanced unopposed. Multiple forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, and Tokuda maintains a substantial fundraising edge heading into the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for safe seats. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant shifts in voter turnout could still influence the outcome before ballots close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen