Kathy Castor maintains her lead in trader pricing for Florida’s 14th congressional district due to two decades of incumbency and strong name recognition in Hillsborough County, even after Republican-led mid-decade redistricting shifted the seat toward a Trump-favorable partisan balance. Mike Beltran secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with 45.6% of the vote in a crowded field and has drawn national Republican support, including placement in the NRCC’s targeted program, along with competitive fundraising near $2.1 million. A July poll showed Castor ahead 46%-38%, and mixed race ratings reflect uncertainty around whether the district’s new boundaries will overcome her established local profile before the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFL-14 Wahlsieger
FL-14 Wahlsieger
$41,668 Vol.
$41,668 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Kathy Castor (D)
64%
Mike Beltran (R)
35%
$41,668 Vol.
$41,668 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Kathy Castor (D)
$21,588 Vol.
64%
Mike Beltran (R)
$20,080 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor maintains her lead in trader pricing for Florida’s 14th congressional district due to two decades of incumbency and strong name recognition in Hillsborough County, even after Republican-led mid-decade redistricting shifted the seat toward a Trump-favorable partisan balance. Mike Beltran secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with 45.6% of the vote in a crowded field and has drawn national Republican support, including placement in the NRCC’s targeted program, along with competitive fundraising near $2.1 million. A July poll showed Castor ahead 46%-38%, and mixed race ratings reflect uncertainty around whether the district’s new boundaries will overcome her established local profile before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volumen
$41,668Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor maintains her lead in trader pricing for Florida’s 14th congressional district due to two decades of incumbency and strong name recognition in Hillsborough County, even after Republican-led mid-decade redistricting shifted the seat toward a Trump-favorable partisan balance. Mike Beltran secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with 45.6% of the vote in a crowded field and has drawn national Republican support, including placement in the NRCC’s targeted program, along with competitive fundraising near $2.1 million. A July poll showed Castor ahead 46%-38%, and mixed race ratings reflect uncertainty around whether the district’s new boundaries will overcome her established local profile before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$41,668Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Castor maintains her lead in trader pricing for Florida’s 14th congressional district due to two decades of incumbency and strong name recognition in Hillsborough County, even after Republican-led mid-decade redistricting shifted the seat toward a Trump-favorable partisan balance. Mike Beltran secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with 45.6% of the vote in a crowded field and has drawn national Republican support, including placement in the NRCC’s targeted program, along with competitive fundraising near $2.1 million. A July poll showed Castor ahead 46%-38%, and mixed race ratings reflect uncertainty around whether the district’s new boundaries will overcome her established local profile before the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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