Austin Rogers holds a commanding lead in the FL-02 House race due to the district’s solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican with an R+8 partisan voter index. Following Neal Dunn’s retirement, Rogers won a crowded August 18 primary with endorsements from figures including House Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan and Majority Whip Tom Emmer, plus his experience as former counsel to Senator Rick Scott. Democratic nominee Amanda Green secured her nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have consistently prevailed. Traders’ consensus pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, major scandals, or national events could still influence the November 3 outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFL-02 Wahlsieger
FL-02 Wahlsieger
$15,793 Vol.
$15,793 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Austin Rogers (R)
91%
Amanda Green (D)
9%
$15,793 Vol.
$15,793 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Austin Rogers (R)
$9,846 Vol.
91%
Amanda Green (D)
$5,947 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Austin Rogers holds a commanding lead in the FL-02 House race due to the district’s solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican with an R+8 partisan voter index. Following Neal Dunn’s retirement, Rogers won a crowded August 18 primary with endorsements from figures including House Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan and Majority Whip Tom Emmer, plus his experience as former counsel to Senator Rick Scott. Democratic nominee Amanda Green secured her nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have consistently prevailed. Traders’ consensus pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, major scandals, or national events could still influence the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$15,793Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Austin Rogers holds a commanding lead in the FL-02 House race due to the district’s solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican with an R+8 partisan voter index. Following Neal Dunn’s retirement, Rogers won a crowded August 18 primary with endorsements from figures including House Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan and Majority Whip Tom Emmer, plus his experience as former counsel to Senator Rick Scott. Democratic nominee Amanda Green secured her nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have consistently prevailed. Traders’ consensus pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, major scandals, or national events could still influence the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,793Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Austin Rogers holds a commanding lead in the FL-02 House race due to the district’s solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican with an R+8 partisan voter index. Following Neal Dunn’s retirement, Rogers won a crowded August 18 primary with endorsements from figures including House Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan and Majority Whip Tom Emmer, plus his experience as former counsel to Senator Rick Scott. Democratic nominee Amanda Green secured her nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have consistently prevailed. Traders’ consensus pricing accounts for these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, major scandals, or national events could still influence the November 3 outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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