Recent polling ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election placed Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 15-16 percent, down from their 18.4 percent share in 2023, translating into projections of roughly 25-29 seats in the expanded chamber. Election-night forecasts from Infratest dimap and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen confirmed a final vote share near 14.3-15 percent, yielding an estimated 26 seats amid gains for Die Linke and AfD and losses for the SPD and CDU. The Greens retained influence as a potential coalition partner in either a left-leaning or centrist three-party arrangement but showed weakness in former strongholds such as Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg. Late shifts in turnout among urban progressive voters or adjustments in overhang mandates could still alter the precise seat total within the narrow band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert25-29 96.3%
20-24 2.5%
30-34 1.9%
<20 <1%
$49,606 Vol.
$49,606 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
<20
1%
20-24
3%
25-29
96%
30-34
2%
35-39
1%
40-44
<1%
45+
<1%
25-29 96.3%
20-24 2.5%
30-34 1.9%
<20 <1%
$49,606 Vol.
$49,606 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
<20
$2,107 Vol.
1%
20-24
$7,641 Vol.
3%
25-29
$8,485 Vol.
96%
30-34
$12,324 Vol.
2%
35-39
$14,459 Vol.
1%
40-44
$3,104 Vol.
<1%
45+
$1,486 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election placed Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 15-16 percent, down from their 18.4 percent share in 2023, translating into projections of roughly 25-29 seats in the expanded chamber. Election-night forecasts from Infratest dimap and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen confirmed a final vote share near 14.3-15 percent, yielding an estimated 26 seats amid gains for Die Linke and AfD and losses for the SPD and CDU. The Greens retained influence as a potential coalition partner in either a left-leaning or centrist three-party arrangement but showed weakness in former strongholds such as Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg. Late shifts in turnout among urban progressive voters or adjustments in overhang mandates could still alter the precise seat total within the narrow band.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Volumen
$49,606Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election placed Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 15-16 percent, down from their 18.4 percent share in 2023, translating into projections of roughly 25-29 seats in the expanded chamber. Election-night forecasts from Infratest dimap and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen confirmed a final vote share near 14.3-15 percent, yielding an estimated 26 seats amid gains for Die Linke and AfD and losses for the SPD and CDU. The Greens retained influence as a potential coalition partner in either a left-leaning or centrist three-party arrangement but showed weakness in former strongholds such as Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg. Late shifts in turnout among urban progressive voters or adjustments in overhang mandates could still alter the precise seat total within the narrow band.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volumen
$49,606Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election placed Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 15-16 percent, down from their 18.4 percent share in 2023, translating into projections of roughly 25-29 seats in the expanded chamber. Election-night forecasts from Infratest dimap and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen confirmed a final vote share near 14.3-15 percent, yielding an estimated 26 seats amid gains for Die Linke and AfD and losses for the SPD and CDU. The Greens retained influence as a potential coalition partner in either a left-leaning or centrist three-party arrangement but showed weakness in former strongholds such as Friedrichshain-Kreuzberg. Late shifts in turnout among urban progressive voters or adjustments in overhang mandates could still alter the precise seat total within the narrow band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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