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icon for Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs
Politik·Hauptwahl

Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs

icon for Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs
Politik·Hauptwahl

Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs

Celina Leão 83%

Arruda 7.7%

Leandro Grass 5.8%

Elisson <1%

Polymarket

$16,634 Vol.

Celina Leão 83%

Arruda 7.7%

Leandro Grass 5.8%

Elisson <1%

Polymarket

$16,634 Vol.

icon for Celina Leão

Celina Leão

$9,534 Vol.

83%

icon for Arruda

Arruda

$1,900 Vol.

8%

icon for Leandro Grass

Leandro Grass

$1,568 Vol.

6%

icon for Elisson

Elisson

$543 Vol.

1%

icon for Paula Belmonte

Paula Belmonte

$526 Vol.

1%

icon for Professor Robson

Professor Robson

$525 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cappelli

Cappelli

$528 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kiko Caputo

Kiko Caputo

$490 Vol.

<1%

icon for Expedito Mendonça

Expedito Mendonça

$536 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professora Samara Mineiro

Professora Samara Mineiro

$485 Vol.

<1%

The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Celina Leão (PP), the current governor who assumed office in March 2026 after Ibaneis Rocha’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote, with 35% support compared to roughly 18-20% each for José Roberto Arruda (PSD) and Leandro Grass (PT). Her position stems from a broad center-right coalition, 58% approval of her management, and emphasis on recent gains in health services, housing, and public administration infrastructure. Arruda’s lower standing reflects both his polling deficit and ongoing legal uncertainty, including a TRE-DF denial of his candidacy that he is appealing to the TSE. Grass trails despite modest gains in some surveys, while remaining contenders such as Paula Belmonte (PSDB) and Ricardo Cappelli (PSB) register in the low single digits. Trader pricing mirrors these dynamics, with Leão as the clear frontrunner and limited upside priced for challengers ahead of the October runoff window if no candidate secures a first-round majority.

The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$16,634
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:44 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Celina Leão (PP), the current governor who assumed office in March 2026 after Ibaneis Rocha’s resignation, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote, with 35% support compared to roughly 18-20% each for José Roberto Arruda (PSD) and Leandro Grass (PT). Her position stems from a broad center-right coalition, 58% approval of her management, and emphasis on recent gains in health services, housing, and public administration infrastructure. Arruda’s lower standing reflects both his polling deficit and ongoing legal uncertainty, including a TRE-DF denial of his candidacy that he is appealing to the TSE. Grass trails despite modest gains in some surveys, while remaining contenders such as Paula Belmonte (PSDB) and Ricardo Cappelli (PSB) register in the low single digits. Trader pricing mirrors these dynamics, with Leão as the clear frontrunner and limited upside priced for challengers ahead of the October runoff window if no candidate secures a first-round majority.

The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$16,634
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:44 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Wird Lucas Ribeiro die Gouverneurswahl in Paraíba gewinnen?

78%
Ja
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Wird Raquel Lyra die Gouverneurswahl in Pernambuco gewinnen?

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53%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Celina Leão" mit 83%, gefolgt von „Arruda" mit 8%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 83¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $16.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs" ist „Celina Leão" mit 83%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Arruda" mit 8%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger des Bundesbezirksgouverneurs" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.