Xi Jinping has maintained firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through extensive purges of senior military officers since 2022, including the January 2026 investigations of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Chief Liu Zhenli for disciplinary violations. These actions, officially framed as anti-corruption measures, have removed potential rivals and reinforced loyalty without triggering any verified coordinated challenge to leadership. Trader consensus at 96.6% for no coup attempt by end-2026 reflects this pattern of internal stability amid opaque elite politics, consistent with repeated unconfirmed rumors during Xi’s tenure. Remaining uncertainty stems from the upcoming 2027 Party Congress succession dynamics or unforeseen health or policy shocks that could alter factional calculations before the resolution date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
3% Chance
$155,390 Vol.
$155,390 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
3% Chance
$155,390 Vol.
$155,390 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping has maintained firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through extensive purges of senior military officers since 2022, including the January 2026 investigations of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Chief Liu Zhenli for disciplinary violations. These actions, officially framed as anti-corruption measures, have removed potential rivals and reinforced loyalty without triggering any verified coordinated challenge to leadership. Trader consensus at 96.6% for no coup attempt by end-2026 reflects this pattern of internal stability amid opaque elite politics, consistent with repeated unconfirmed rumors during Xi’s tenure. Remaining uncertainty stems from the upcoming 2027 Party Congress succession dynamics or unforeseen health or policy shocks that could alter factional calculations before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$155,390Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping has maintained firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through extensive purges of senior military officers since 2022, including the January 2026 investigations of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Chief Liu Zhenli for disciplinary violations. These actions, officially framed as anti-corruption measures, have removed potential rivals and reinforced loyalty without triggering any verified coordinated challenge to leadership. Trader consensus at 96.6% for no coup attempt by end-2026 reflects this pattern of internal stability amid opaque elite politics, consistent with repeated unconfirmed rumors during Xi’s tenure. Remaining uncertainty stems from the upcoming 2027 Party Congress succession dynamics or unforeseen health or policy shocks that could alter factional calculations before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$155,390Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping has maintained firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through extensive purges of senior military officers since 2022, including the January 2026 investigations of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Chief Liu Zhenli for disciplinary violations. These actions, officially framed as anti-corruption measures, have removed potential rivals and reinforced loyalty without triggering any verified coordinated challenge to leadership. Trader consensus at 96.6% for no coup attempt by end-2026 reflects this pattern of internal stability amid opaque elite politics, consistent with repeated unconfirmed rumors during Xi’s tenure. Remaining uncertainty stems from the upcoming 2027 Party Congress succession dynamics or unforeseen health or policy shocks that could alter factional calculations before the resolution date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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