The Berlin state election on September 20, 2026, produced results that placed the CDU in the 30-34 seat range in the Abgeordnetenhaus, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the dominant market pricing. The party’s vote share fell sharply to 18.8 percent from 28.2 percent in 2023, amid gains for Die Linke (25.7 percent) and the AfD, as voters shifted toward parties emphasizing housing affordability and other local priorities. This outcome aligns with pre-election polling trends showing the CDU trailing or tied near 20 percent while the outgoing CDU-SPD coalition lost its majority. Final certified seat allocation remains subject to standard procedural verification and any minor adjustments from outstanding ballots, though such changes are unlikely to move the CDU outside the leading bracket given the scale of the vote totals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert30-34 95.5%
35-39 2.6%
45+ 2.1%
25-29 1.7%
$76,569 Vol.
$76,569 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
<25
<1%
25-29
2%
30-34
96%
35-39
3%
40-44
1%
45+
2%
30-34 95.5%
35-39 2.6%
45+ 2.1%
25-29 1.7%
$76,569 Vol.
$76,569 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
<25
$2,906 Vol.
<1%
25-29
$8,922 Vol.
2%
30-34
$13,934 Vol.
96%
35-39
$7,169 Vol.
3%
40-44
$7,866 Vol.
1%
45+
$35,772 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).The Berlin state election on September 20, 2026, produced results that placed the CDU in the 30-34 seat range in the Abgeordnetenhaus, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the dominant market pricing. The party’s vote share fell sharply to 18.8 percent from 28.2 percent in 2023, amid gains for Die Linke (25.7 percent) and the AfD, as voters shifted toward parties emphasizing housing affordability and other local priorities. This outcome aligns with pre-election polling trends showing the CDU trailing or tied near 20 percent while the outgoing CDU-SPD coalition lost its majority. Final certified seat allocation remains subject to standard procedural verification and any minor adjustments from outstanding ballots, though such changes are unlikely to move the CDU outside the leading bracket given the scale of the vote totals.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Volumen
$76,569Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).The Berlin state election on September 20, 2026, produced results that placed the CDU in the 30-34 seat range in the Abgeordnetenhaus, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the dominant market pricing. The party’s vote share fell sharply to 18.8 percent from 28.2 percent in 2023, amid gains for Die Linke (25.7 percent) and the AfD, as voters shifted toward parties emphasizing housing affordability and other local priorities. This outcome aligns with pre-election polling trends showing the CDU trailing or tied near 20 percent while the outgoing CDU-SPD coalition lost its majority. Final certified seat allocation remains subject to standard procedural verification and any minor adjustments from outstanding ballots, though such changes are unlikely to move the CDU outside the leading bracket given the scale of the vote totals.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volumen
$76,569Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Berlin state election on September 20, 2026, produced results that placed the CDU in the 30-34 seat range in the Abgeordnetenhaus, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the dominant market pricing. The party’s vote share fell sharply to 18.8 percent from 28.2 percent in 2023, amid gains for Die Linke (25.7 percent) and the AfD, as voters shifted toward parties emphasizing housing affordability and other local priorities. This outcome aligns with pre-election polling trends showing the CDU trailing or tied near 20 percent while the outgoing CDU-SPD coalition lost its majority. Final certified seat allocation remains subject to standard procedural verification and any minor adjustments from outstanding ballots, though such changes are unlikely to move the CDU outside the leading bracket given the scale of the vote totals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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