Recent polling shows a tightly bunched field in the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, with the Linke at 21 percent narrowly ahead of the CDU at 20 percent, followed by the AfD at 18 percent and the Grüne at 16 percent. This positioning leaves the Grüne as the frontrunner for fourth place in trader assessments, though the SPD at 12 percent and smaller parties near the five-percent threshold create volatility. The latest Infratest dimap survey for ARD highlights minimal shifts over recent weeks and underscores how small vote swings among these contenders could reorder the middle rankings. Coalition arithmetic and turnout in key districts remain key variables that could separate outcomes before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLandtagswahl Berlin: 4. Platz
Landtagswahl Berlin: 4. Platz
Grüne 45%
AfD 22%
CDU 14.0%
SPD 13%
$12,739 Vol.
$12,739 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
Grüne
45%
AfD
22%
CDU
18%
SPD
13%
Linke
7%
BSW
1%
FDP
1%
FW
1%
Grüne 45%
AfD 22%
CDU 14.0%
SPD 13%
$12,739 Vol.
$12,739 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
Grüne
$6,738 Vol.
45%
AfD
$4,163 Vol.
22%
CDU
$182 Vol.
18%
SPD
$344 Vol.
13%
Linke
$738 Vol.
7%
BSW
$212 Vol.
1%
FDP
$154 Vol.
1%
FW
$209 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling shows a tightly bunched field in the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, with the Linke at 21 percent narrowly ahead of the CDU at 20 percent, followed by the AfD at 18 percent and the Grüne at 16 percent. This positioning leaves the Grüne as the frontrunner for fourth place in trader assessments, though the SPD at 12 percent and smaller parties near the five-percent threshold create volatility. The latest Infratest dimap survey for ARD highlights minimal shifts over recent weeks and underscores how small vote swings among these contenders could reorder the middle rankings. Coalition arithmetic and turnout in key districts remain key variables that could separate outcomes before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Volumen
$12,739Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling shows a tightly bunched field in the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, with the Linke at 21 percent narrowly ahead of the CDU at 20 percent, followed by the AfD at 18 percent and the Grüne at 16 percent. This positioning leaves the Grüne as the frontrunner for fourth place in trader assessments, though the SPD at 12 percent and smaller parties near the five-percent threshold create volatility. The latest Infratest dimap survey for ARD highlights minimal shifts over recent weeks and underscores how small vote swings among these contenders could reorder the middle rankings. Coalition arithmetic and turnout in key districts remain key variables that could separate outcomes before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volumen
$12,739Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a tightly bunched field in the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, with the Linke at 21 percent narrowly ahead of the CDU at 20 percent, followed by the AfD at 18 percent and the Grüne at 16 percent. This positioning leaves the Grüne as the frontrunner for fourth place in trader assessments, though the SPD at 12 percent and smaller parties near the five-percent threshold create volatility. The latest Infratest dimap survey for ARD highlights minimal shifts over recent weeks and underscores how small vote swings among these contenders could reorder the middle rankings. Coalition arithmetic and turnout in key districts remain key variables that could separate outcomes before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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