Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 68% to finish 2026 as the world’s second-richest person, driven by Alphabet’s steady performance and his current position just behind Elon Musk’s commanding lead. Michael Dell’s 49% reflects the dramatic surge in Dell Technologies shares amid booming AI infrastructure demand, which has propelled him past Jeff Bezos and into frequent contention for the top three. Sergey Brin, Jensen Huang, and Steve Ballmer trail with lower probabilities as traders weigh ongoing volatility in tech valuations, while luxury-sector headwinds have sidelined Bernard Arnault. With roughly three and a half months left, stock swings in AI-exposed names remain the key swing factor ahead of year-end resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert2. reichste Person am 31. Dezember?
2. reichste Person am 31. Dezember?
Michael Dell 96%
Larry Page 48%
Sergey Brin 26.7%
Jensen Huang 25.4%
$46,108 Vol.
$46,108 Vol.
30. März 2026
Michael Dell
96%
Larry Page
68%
Sergey Brin
27%
Jensen Huang
25%
Steve Ballmer
21%
Warren Buffett
21%
Bernard Arnault
12%
Mark Zuckerberg
10%
Larry Ellison
10%
Jeff Bezos
8%
Elon Musk
6%
Michael Dell 96%
Larry Page 48%
Sergey Brin 26.7%
Jensen Huang 25.4%
$46,108 Vol.
$46,108 Vol.
30. März 2026
Michael Dell
$0 Vol.
96%
Larry Page
$21,066 Vol.
68%
Sergey Brin
$7,498 Vol.
27%
Jensen Huang
$1,410 Vol.
25%
Steve Ballmer
$1,193 Vol.
21%
Warren Buffett
$1,887 Vol.
21%
Bernard Arnault
$905 Vol.
12%
Mark Zuckerberg
$595 Vol.
10%
Larry Ellison
$913 Vol.
10%
Jeff Bezos
$9,746 Vol.
8%
Elon Musk
$896 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 68% to finish 2026 as the world’s second-richest person, driven by Alphabet’s steady performance and his current position just behind Elon Musk’s commanding lead. Michael Dell’s 49% reflects the dramatic surge in Dell Technologies shares amid booming AI infrastructure demand, which has propelled him past Jeff Bezos and into frequent contention for the top three. Sergey Brin, Jensen Huang, and Steve Ballmer trail with lower probabilities as traders weigh ongoing volatility in tech valuations, while luxury-sector headwinds have sidelined Bernard Arnault. With roughly three and a half months left, stock swings in AI-exposed names remain the key swing factor ahead of year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Volumen
$46,108Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 68% to finish 2026 as the world’s second-richest person, driven by Alphabet’s steady performance and his current position just behind Elon Musk’s commanding lead. Michael Dell’s 49% reflects the dramatic surge in Dell Technologies shares amid booming AI infrastructure demand, which has propelled him past Jeff Bezos and into frequent contention for the top three. Sergey Brin, Jensen Huang, and Steve Ballmer trail with lower probabilities as traders weigh ongoing volatility in tech valuations, while luxury-sector headwinds have sidelined Bernard Arnault. With roughly three and a half months left, stock swings in AI-exposed names remain the key swing factor ahead of year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volumen
$46,108Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 68% to finish 2026 as the world’s second-richest person, driven by Alphabet’s steady performance and his current position just behind Elon Musk’s commanding lead. Michael Dell’s 49% reflects the dramatic surge in Dell Technologies shares amid booming AI infrastructure demand, which has propelled him past Jeff Bezos and into frequent contention for the top three. Sergey Brin, Jensen Huang, and Steve Ballmer trail with lower probabilities as traders weigh ongoing volatility in tech valuations, while luxury-sector headwinds have sidelined Bernard Arnault. With roughly three and a half months left, stock swings in AI-exposed names remain the key swing factor ahead of year-end resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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