Strong El Niño conditions have suppressed Atlantic hurricane activity throughout the 2026 season, producing no hurricanes as of mid-September and record-low accumulated cyclone energy near 5 units per National Hurricane Center data. NOAA and other forecasts project a below-normal season overall, with high wind shear limiting intensification and steering patterns keeping systems away from the U.S. coast. Category 5 landfalls on the contiguous United States remain exceptionally rare historically, occurring just a handful of times since reliable records began. While the market-implied odds near 96% reflect this consensus, a late-season Gulf of Mexico storm undergoing rapid intensification before landfall could still shift outcomes if conditions briefly align.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
3% সম্ভাবনা
$142,105 Vol.
$142,105 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% সম্ভাবনা
$142,105 Vol.
$142,105 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.Strong El Niño conditions have suppressed Atlantic hurricane activity throughout the 2026 season, producing no hurricanes as of mid-September and record-low accumulated cyclone energy near 5 units per National Hurricane Center data. NOAA and other forecasts project a below-normal season overall, with high wind shear limiting intensification and steering patterns keeping systems away from the U.S. coast. Category 5 landfalls on the contiguous United States remain exceptionally rare historically, occurring just a handful of times since reliable records began. While the market-implied odds near 96% reflect this consensus, a late-season Gulf of Mexico storm undergoing rapid intensification before landfall could still shift outcomes if conditions briefly align.
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 31, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$142,105শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 31, 2025, 12:09 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.Strong El Niño conditions have suppressed Atlantic hurricane activity throughout the 2026 season, producing no hurricanes as of mid-September and record-low accumulated cyclone energy near 5 units per National Hurricane Center data. NOAA and other forecasts project a below-normal season overall, with high wind shear limiting intensification and steering patterns keeping systems away from the U.S. coast. Category 5 landfalls on the contiguous United States remain exceptionally rare historically, occurring just a handful of times since reliable records began. While the market-implied odds near 96% reflect this consensus, a late-season Gulf of Mexico storm undergoing rapid intensification before landfall could still shift outcomes if conditions briefly align.
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
ভলিউম
$142,105শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 31, 2025, 12:09 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Strong El Niño conditions have suppressed Atlantic hurricane activity throughout the 2026 season, producing no hurricanes as of mid-September and record-low accumulated cyclone energy near 5 units per National Hurricane Center data. NOAA and other forecasts project a below-normal season overall, with high wind shear limiting intensification and steering patterns keeping systems away from the U.S. coast. Category 5 landfalls on the contiguous United States remain exceptionally rare historically, occurring just a handful of times since reliable records began. While the market-implied odds near 96% reflect this consensus, a late-season Gulf of Mexico storm undergoing rapid intensification before landfall could still shift outcomes if conditions briefly align.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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