Recent electoral court rulings voiding prior Vaimauga 3 results over bribery convictions have triggered this third contest in the constituency within a year, with nominations closing in late August and voting set for 18 September 2026. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field featuring FAST candidates Nonu Laulu William Mauia and Puaalatamai Filemoni Filemoni alongside the HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo and several independents, including Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo. The split FAST effort, absence of a dominant incumbent, and limited pre-polling window sustain tight implied probabilities across leading options. Late endorsements, campaign focus on local development priorities, or turnout patterns in this urban Apia-area seat could shift positioning ahead of the return of the writ.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 43%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 19%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 4.5%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
43%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
19%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
16%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
5%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 43%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 19%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 4.5%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
43%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
19%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
16%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent electoral court rulings voiding prior Vaimauga 3 results over bribery convictions have triggered this third contest in the constituency within a year, with nominations closing in late August and voting set for 18 September 2026. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field featuring FAST candidates Nonu Laulu William Mauia and Puaalatamai Filemoni Filemoni alongside the HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo and several independents, including Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo. The split FAST effort, absence of a dominant incumbent, and limited pre-polling window sustain tight implied probabilities across leading options. Late endorsements, campaign focus on local development priorities, or turnout patterns in this urban Apia-area seat could shift positioning ahead of the return of the writ.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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