In the Tocantins Senate race for two seats, where each voter selects up to two candidates ahead of the October 4 election, trader pricing reflects a tight contest for second place between Gaguim (União) and Alexandre Guimarães (MDB). Multiple August and early September polls show Eduardo Gomes (PL) in a clear lead for first, while Gaguim and Guimarães trade narrow advantages or sit within margins of error for the remaining spot amid 13 registered candidates and high undecided shares often exceeding 30%. Fragmented support across names like Ronaldo Dimas, Eli Borges, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, and Paulo Mourão, combined with limited recent shifts in voter intentions or major campaign events, sustains the close implied probabilities. Further polling consolidation, targeted endorsements, or last-minute preference changes among swing voters could widen the gap before ballots close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডGaguim 44.6%
Alexandre Guimarães 40%
Eduardo Gomes 13.2%
Osvany Luz <1%
$33,211 Vol.
$33,211 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gaguim
45%
Alexandre Guimarães
40%
Eduardo Gomes
13%
Osvany Luz
1%
Eli Borges
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
1%
Paulo Mourão
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Gaguim 44.6%
Alexandre Guimarães 40%
Eduardo Gomes 13.2%
Osvany Luz <1%
$33,211 Vol.
$33,211 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gaguim
$7,484 Vol.
45%
Alexandre Guimarães
$16,168 Vol.
40%
Eduardo Gomes
$1,432 Vol.
13%
Osvany Luz
$447 Vol.
1%
Eli Borges
$528 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
$385 Vol.
1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$437 Vol.
1%
Paulo Mourão
$4,488 Vol.
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$395 Vol.
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$391 Vol.
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$345 Vol.
<1%
Nilton Santos
$392 Vol.
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
$319 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Tocantins Senate race for two seats, where each voter selects up to two candidates ahead of the October 4 election, trader pricing reflects a tight contest for second place between Gaguim (União) and Alexandre Guimarães (MDB). Multiple August and early September polls show Eduardo Gomes (PL) in a clear lead for first, while Gaguim and Guimarães trade narrow advantages or sit within margins of error for the remaining spot amid 13 registered candidates and high undecided shares often exceeding 30%. Fragmented support across names like Ronaldo Dimas, Eli Borges, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, and Paulo Mourão, combined with limited recent shifts in voter intentions or major campaign events, sustains the close implied probabilities. Further polling consolidation, targeted endorsements, or last-minute preference changes among swing voters could widen the gap before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
ভলিউম
$33,211শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Tocantins Senate race for two seats, where each voter selects up to two candidates ahead of the October 4 election, trader pricing reflects a tight contest for second place between Gaguim (União) and Alexandre Guimarães (MDB). Multiple August and early September polls show Eduardo Gomes (PL) in a clear lead for first, while Gaguim and Guimarães trade narrow advantages or sit within margins of error for the remaining spot amid 13 registered candidates and high undecided shares often exceeding 30%. Fragmented support across names like Ronaldo Dimas, Eli Borges, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, and Paulo Mourão, combined with limited recent shifts in voter intentions or major campaign events, sustains the close implied probabilities. Further polling consolidation, targeted endorsements, or last-minute preference changes among swing voters could widen the gap before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$33,211শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...In the Tocantins Senate race for two seats, where each voter selects up to two candidates ahead of the October 4 election, trader pricing reflects a tight contest for second place between Gaguim (União) and Alexandre Guimarães (MDB). Multiple August and early September polls show Eduardo Gomes (PL) in a clear lead for first, while Gaguim and Guimarães trade narrow advantages or sit within margins of error for the remaining spot amid 13 registered candidates and high undecided shares often exceeding 30%. Fragmented support across names like Ronaldo Dimas, Eli Borges, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, and Paulo Mourão, combined with limited recent shifts in voter intentions or major campaign events, sustains the close implied probabilities. Further polling consolidation, targeted endorsements, or last-minute preference changes among swing voters could widen the gap before ballots close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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