Anthropic has not released a successor to Claude Haiku 4.5 since its October 2025 launch, even as the company rolled out Sonnet 5, Opus 5, Fable 5.1, and Mythos 5.1 variants through September 2026. This gap has shaped market-implied odds, with traders noting Anthropic’s pattern of following flagship updates with a faster, lower-cost Haiku tier that supports features like extended thinking and computer use at reduced latency. Haiku 4.5 remains the active model, with deprecation notices setting retirement no sooner than October 15, 2026, while higher-tier lines advanced multiple times in 2026. Key near-term signals include any developer conference appearances, API deprecation notices, or earnings commentary that could indicate an imminent smaller-model refresh amid competitive pressure from efficient alternatives in the large language model space.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNext Claude Haiku released by...?
Next Claude Haiku released by...?
নতুন
Oct 15, 2026
October 15
36%
October 31
59%
December 31
57%
$9,502 Vol.
October 15
$204 Vol.
36%
October 31
$987 Vol.
59%
December 31
$4,559 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic has not released a successor to Claude Haiku 4.5 since its October 2025 launch, even as the company rolled out Sonnet 5, Opus 5, Fable 5.1, and Mythos 5.1 variants through September 2026. This gap has shaped market-implied odds, with traders noting Anthropic’s pattern of following flagship updates with a faster, lower-cost Haiku tier that supports features like extended thinking and computer use at reduced latency. Haiku 4.5 remains the active model, with deprecation notices setting retirement no sooner than October 15, 2026, while higher-tier lines advanced multiple times in 2026. Key near-term signals include any developer conference appearances, API deprecation notices, or earnings commentary that could indicate an imminent smaller-model refresh amid competitive pressure from efficient alternatives in the large language model space.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
ভলিউম
$9,502শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic has not released a successor to Claude Haiku 4.5 since its October 2025 launch, even as the company rolled out Sonnet 5, Opus 5, Fable 5.1, and Mythos 5.1 variants through September 2026. This gap has shaped market-implied odds, with traders noting Anthropic’s pattern of following flagship updates with a faster, lower-cost Haiku tier that supports features like extended thinking and computer use at reduced latency. Haiku 4.5 remains the active model, with deprecation notices setting retirement no sooner than October 15, 2026, while higher-tier lines advanced multiple times in 2026. Key near-term signals include any developer conference appearances, API deprecation notices, or earnings commentary that could indicate an imminent smaller-model refresh amid competitive pressure from efficient alternatives in the large language model space.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$9,502শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Anthropic has not released a successor to Claude Haiku 4.5 since its October 2025 launch, even as the company rolled out Sonnet 5, Opus 5, Fable 5.1, and Mythos 5.1 variants through September 2026. This gap has shaped market-implied odds, with traders noting Anthropic’s pattern of following flagship updates with a faster, lower-cost Haiku tier that supports features like extended thinking and computer use at reduced latency. Haiku 4.5 remains the active model, with deprecation notices setting retirement no sooner than October 15, 2026, while higher-tier lines advanced multiple times in 2026. Key near-term signals include any developer conference appearances, API deprecation notices, or earnings commentary that could indicate an imminent smaller-model refresh amid competitive pressure from efficient alternatives in the large language model space.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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